TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
HANJIN BRIONof Nongshim Red Force, HANJIN BRION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,695
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,994

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,695 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed HANJIN BRION70c44,031$30,980 inWon+$13,050.271,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Nongshim Red Force30c28,012$8,404 inLost-$8,403.657246%263 W · 309 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Nongshim Red Force29c25,539$7,406 inLost-$7,406.2938235.6%136 W · 246 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed HANJIN BRION71c10,000$7,100 inWon+$2,90059450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed HANJIN BRION71c5,006$3,554 inWon+$1,451.625143.4%109 W · 142 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Nongshim Red Force29c2,963$853 inLost-$852.522,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Nongshim Red Force29c1,906$553 inLost-$552.748742.3%206 W · 281 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed HANJIN BRION71c979.12$700 inWon+$279.1286144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Nongshim Red Force29c887.97$258 inLost-$257.511,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac42…60d1backed Nongshim Red Force29c780$226 inLost-$226.27626.3%20 W · 56 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Nongshim Red Force28c688.17$196 inLost-$196.116747.8%32 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Nongshim Red Force29c633.95$186 inLost-$18690537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed HANJIN BRION71c500$355 inWon+$14537647.9%180 W · 196 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed HANJIN BRION72c417.07$300 inWon+$117.0747933.6%161 W · 318 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed HANJIN BRION71c400$284 inWon+$11666059.8%395 W · 265 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed Nongshim Red Force28c383$107 inLost-$107.2414851.4%76 W · 72 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed HANJIN BRION71c354.56$250 inWon+$104.5665063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed HANJIN BRION71c300$213 inWon+$86.8115232.2%49 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Nongshim Red Force29c200$58 inLost-$5811245.5%51 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Nongshim Red Force30c199.99$60 inLost-$6016035%56 W · 104 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed HANJIN BRION78c139.33$108 inWon+$30.9339859.8%238 W · 160 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked HANJIN BRION72c138.89$100 inWon+$38.898253.7%44 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc623…5808backed Nongshim Red Force19c97.66$18 inLost-$18.212446%57 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6f…3be7backed Nongshim Red Force29c96.55$28 inLost-$288641.9%36 W · 50 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e2…68f1backed Nongshim Red Force30c80$24 inLost-$2421256.1%119 W · 93 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e83…a620backed Nongshim Red Force30c76.67$23 inLost-$236253.2%33 W · 29 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked HANJIN BRION70c71.81$50 inWon+$21.8184360.1%507 W · 336 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Nongshim Red Force29c68.97$20 inLost-$2013348.9%65 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Nongshim Red Force29c58.14$17 inLost-$16.868637.2%32 W · 54 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Nongshim Red Force24c57.19$14 inLost-$13.6817349.7%86 W · 87 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Nongshim Red Force30c50$15 inLost-$1538640.4%156 W · 230 L-17.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed HANJIN BRION71c40$28 inWon+$11.679745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Nongshim Red Force29c39.51$11 inLost-$11.463336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5930…51d2backed HANJIN BRION71c35.21$25 inWon+$10.213669.4%25 W · 11 L+6.5wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed HANJIN BRION73c29.98$22 inWon+$8.174462.2%463 W · 281 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0439…3f80backed HANJIN BRION71c27.89$20 inWon+$8.094660.9%28 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed HANJIN BRION72c22.76$16 inWon+$6.2639445.2%178 W · 216 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.