Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c614c3c2d8fe6180c6d0b3ad1dbb39d3cc50517a51423fc056f6763aaeb90c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 51c | 3,895$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.77 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…476cbacked Over | 49c | 2,950$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Over | 55c | 1,462$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 1,146$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.27 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Over | 49c | 867.35$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 54c | 331.63$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.95 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 152 | 32.2%49 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 316 | 46.5%147 W · 169 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Under | 45c | 249.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Over | 48c | 226.55$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.74 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 64c | 226.1$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.46 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 47c | 214.13$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.64 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Under | 57c | 175.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.61 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 43c | 165.61$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.21 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked Over | 53c | 109.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa422…d210backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3001…4bdbbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07ca…b8bebacked Over | 48c | 91.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 45c | 63.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 51c | 51.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 51c | 35.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 191 | 61.8%118 W · 73 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30fe…74bcbacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)HANJIN BRION won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2HANJIN BRION won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.