CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ReThink vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec398b0102ed84d02e56087489cd74bb207db62111303f686daa243c7a01bac3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ReThinkof ReThink, VP.Prodigy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed VP.Prodigy | 64c | 2,182$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.19 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked VP.Prodigy | 64c | 2,002$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.19 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed ReThink | 36c | 955.6$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.45 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ReThink | 37c | 700$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed VP.Prodigy | 64c | 531.5$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.16 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed VP.Prodigy | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0e…b995backed ReThink | 35c | 438.14$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.79 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed ReThink | 37c | 429.73$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.73 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…d240backed ReThink | 38c | 417.23$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.68 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed VP.Prodigy | 62c | 409.31$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.68 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed ReThink | 37c | 409.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.1 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed ReThink | 35c | 371.06$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.19 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed ReThink | 36c | 366.27$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.12 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed ReThink | 37c | 317.24$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.76 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked ReThink | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.21 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed VP.Prodigy | 65c | 286$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.9 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed ReThink | 37c | 278.16$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.24 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7da…43d9backed VP.Prodigy | 33c | 209.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 271 | 56.1%152 W · 119 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed ReThink | 37c | 202.09$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.73 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed VP.Prodigy | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 401 | 55.1%221 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed ReThink | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked ReThink | 36c | 165$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…09e3backed ReThink | 36c | 153.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.65 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked ReThink | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed VP.Prodigy | 62c | 113.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.33 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…82c9backed ReThink | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed ReThink | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked VP.Prodigy | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked ReThink | 37c | 94.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…74f2backed ReThink | 36c | 81.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked ReThink | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed ReThink | 38c | 78.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed VP.Prodigy | 63c | 77.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed ReThink | 72c | 64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked VP.Prodigy | 65c | 63.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked VP.Prodigy | 35c | 63.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed VP.Prodigy | 65c | 58.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed ReThink | 38c | 57.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked VP.Prodigy | 32c | 56.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed ReThink | 38c | 52.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked ReThink | 37c | 49.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked ReThink | 37c | 41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed VP.Prodigy | 65c | 39.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ReThink | 36c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked ReThink | 36c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed VP.Prodigy | 64c | 33.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed ReThink | 34c | 32.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 170 | 38.8%66 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…a9f1backed VP.Prodigy | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…8149backed ReThink | 37c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed VP.Prodigy | 62c | 28.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed VP.Prodigy | 66c | 19.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked VP.Prodigy | 65c | 15.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.