CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a9901d3baef382e7078a05df785d9af6648fbedf97eaeba91a7de6ee4d56d51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marsborneof Marsborne, F5 Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed F5 Esports | 7c | 8,744$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.82 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed F5 Esports | 8c | 2,453$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.89 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed F5 Esports | 6c | 2,208$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.68 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed F5 Esports | 7c | 1,987$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.2 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed F5 Esports | 6c | 1,413$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.62 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed F5 Esports | 7c | 1,027$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.43 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed F5 Esports | 9c | 999.92$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked F5 Esports | 6c | 536.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed F5 Esports | 7c | 425$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed F5 Esports | 7c | 415$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed F5 Esports | 6c | 415$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed F5 Esports | 7c | 398.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked F5 Esports | 9c | 375$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95e…102abacked F5 Esports | 8c | 374.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed F5 Esports | 11c | 362.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed F5 Esports | 6c | 310.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 170 | 41.2%70 W · 100 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed F5 Esports | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked F5 Esports | 8c | 299.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed F5 Esports | 6c | 296.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked F5 Esports | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked F5 Esports | 8c | 262.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked F5 Esports | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…d240backed F5 Esports | 7c | 221$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed F5 Esports | 6c | 216.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed F5 Esports | 19c | 210.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed F5 Esports | 7c | 192.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked F5 Esports | 7c | 181.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed F5 Esports | 8c | 160$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed F5 Esports | 11c | 151.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed F5 Esports | 7c | 149.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked F5 Esports | 17c | 138.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked F5 Esports | 8c | 119.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1035…6029backed F5 Esports | 9c | 112.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…aff0backed F5 Esports | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed F5 Esports | 19c | 65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports - Map 1 WinnerMarsborne won
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports - Map 2 WinnerMarsborne won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.