TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-03-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,590
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,303

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,590 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd37a…2358backed No66c6,985$4,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,384.5989955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f8d…a19bbacked Yes77c3,563$2,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,728.0720%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No64c3,021$1,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.2322555.1%124 W · 101 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No68c2,954$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.155949.2%29 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes16c2,925$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.6492835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes35c2,200$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76126749.4%132 W · 135 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.984946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Yes38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Yes35c1,196$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.481471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Yes34c1,139$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.09922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-63.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes35c1,084$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.322623.1%6 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes38c1,005$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3821136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes43c964.07$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.725,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No32c922.78$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.135655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes65c905.42$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.521,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes43c825.38$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.741,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No41c804.2$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.751266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+50.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xca7e…3fb8backed Yes41c727.79$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes35c688.54$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.811654.3%63 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes41c679.73$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9122656.6%128 W · 98 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked No31c645.81$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.811573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+40.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No48c565.04$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.4982053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes75c531.35$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.2393446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Yes54c520.19$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.12138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No46c475.22$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.1184347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No79c449.67$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4362652.6%329 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes38c345.2$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.1639058.2%227 W · 163 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No25c337.44$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.086729.9%20 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Yes33c311.32$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0910041%41 W · 59 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes34c302.06$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.79056.7%51 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked No69c299.72$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.051963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Yes34c284.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.419552.6%50 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed No36c279.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.93742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No62c271.06$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.153148.8%259 W · 272 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes35c249.11$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3112750.4%64 W · 63 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a85…3699backed Yes34c246$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.64757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes58c238.77$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6872144.1%318 W · 403 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes58c238.67$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.0514557.2%83 W · 62 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0922…d953backed Yes37c210.75$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.68540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d2…2f04backed Yes38c205$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7212147.9%58 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b9b…23cabacked Yes12c172.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.39450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+222.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No64c166.74$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7310945.9%50 W · 59 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No63c160.1$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.242227.3%6 W · 16 L-5.4wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-50.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes63c153.25$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6113349.6%66 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes72c145.86$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10521367.6%144 W · 69 L0.0wins0.00per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Yes37c138.78$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.351330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbac3…0058backed No64c136.32$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes15c136.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010335%36 W · 67 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a76…08a6backed Yes8c128.55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked No70c119.05$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.713568.6%24 W · 11 L+5.2wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+34.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7413…f879backed Yes72c108.22$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.47425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes27c107.29$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.746422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No67c99.98$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9923755.3%131 W · 106 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed No68c96.87$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3112242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bd…6cecbacked No70c92.86$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.86966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+35.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No58c85.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.126460.9%39 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed No70c85.82$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.757350.7%37 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No64c80$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.85750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No46c76.79$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2973850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc003…47a8backed Yes38c70.66$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.851553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80c7…d9c5backed Yes38c68.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef7…0e08backed No49c61.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.67683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+34.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7b6…4587backed Yes35c57.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes35c52.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1814840.5%60 W · 88 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No34c51.9$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2977056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2e3…7c07backed No65c50.37$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked No68c50.13$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.04875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+40.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No68c50.13$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.041,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed No64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1834050.9%173 W · 167 L+19.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No63c47.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.751,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8390…3773backed No54c40.07$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.43757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed No27c39.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+276.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a47…cfbbbacked Yes38c39.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes79c38.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3927964.9%181 W · 98 L+28.1wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked No67c37.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.533174.2%23 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes37c36.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6456445.4%256 W · 308 L-25.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4113…9521backed Yes50c36.49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x919f…bfbebacked Yes77c36.36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a84…e21abacked Yes42c29.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e1…6579backed Yes36c29.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No64c26.85$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6610650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No63c25.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.31,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef92…f133backed Yes53c24.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13d7…8cb0backed Yes51c23.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60e4…f926backed No66c21.32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.252759.3%16 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+23.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No67c20.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.861450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No66c20.34$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.92966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked No67c17.91$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.91887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+40.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa71c…e905backed No67c17.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.86475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0966…514bbacked No70c17.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea6…dcf5backed No65c15.68$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.494057.5%23 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3063…e5e1backed No67c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.95650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.