Asian League · resolved market
Will Vissel Kōbe vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec6b7cab8f63b1f8cd670bd346a06e6d978cb061501c9eedd557dae5ed7e5f31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 27c | 18,875$5,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,003.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 6,898$4,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.22 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 71c | 4,706$3,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.69 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 59c | 4,321$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.62 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 73c | 3,976$2,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.45 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 2,885$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.38 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes | 24c | 1,570$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.76 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed No | 64c | 1,564$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.02 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 70c | 1,317$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.42 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Yes | 29c | 1,276$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 72c | 1,238$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.76 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 54c | 1,011$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.75 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 20c | 950.4$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 29c | 802.9$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.3 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 31c | 627.85$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.3 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 68c | 593.45$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.76 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 29c | 540$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 29c | 521.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.47 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 30c | 486.67$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Yes | 9c | 477.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 33c | 452.55$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.52 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8504…ea7dbacked Yes | 29c | 450.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7e…3fb8backed Yes | 31c | 412.9$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 29c | 399.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 71c | 397.23$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.1 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 29c | 381.88$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.28 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 29c | 381.75$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.3 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 29c | 349.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked No | 18c | 346.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.52 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 66c | 339.3$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.74 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 24c | 327.3$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.59 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 78c | 217.19$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a85…3699backed Yes | 29c | 203$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 24c | 185.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e9…c69cbacked Yes | 13c | 176.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…c51bbacked Yes | 29c | 168.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb070…4761backed Yes | 23c | 160$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed No | 73c | 151$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 74c | 143.34$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 80c | 141.26$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d2…2f04backed Yes | 31c | 134.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 13c | 111.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 30c | 108.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ce…3cf8backed No | 71c | 106.52$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 15c | 103.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed No | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 71c | 95.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 74cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes | 45c | 92.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 27c | 87.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 71c | 84.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked No | 74c | 71.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed No | 73c | 68.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…13a3backed Yes | 76c | 65.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9b…23cabacked No | 26c | 62.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +222.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked No | 71c | 56.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a05…7757backed Yes | 29c | 50.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked No | 75c | 49.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 49.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 28c | 49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 72c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 22c | 49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…5401backed No | 72c | 45.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0922…d953backed No | 77c | 44.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 71c | 42.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…76dfbacked No | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…9c1bbacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 29c | 39.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 562 | 45.4%255 W · 307 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked No | 70c | 37.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Yes | 50c | 30.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…87e5backed No | 53c | 28.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 47c | 28.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 424 | 25.9%110 W · 314 L | -32.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 75c | 20.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed No | 72c | 17.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…a9cabacked No | 72c | 15.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 73cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vissel Kōbe vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima end in a draw?this page
- Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-03-27?No won
- Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-03-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.