Asian League · resolved market
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-03-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9293686f0c17465f95cdd1d7437955f264b36d0f82fc604ec9739120c0a3d815
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 2,780$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.64 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Yes | 10c | 1,265$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.03 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 22c | 1,124$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed No | 78c | 999.95$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Yes | 24c | 819.7$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 19c | 607.44$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.27 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Yes | 23c | 518.12$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 78c | 443.29$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.36 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 26c | 406.75$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.76 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 26c | 364$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 79c | 226.82$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 26c | 196.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 16c | 181$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 79c | 146.17$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 12c | 137.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 26c | 129.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 21c | 124.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 20c | 120.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 427 | 25.8%110 W · 317 L | -34.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…6f29backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 21c | 107.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes | 15c | 106.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 25c | 100.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 20c | 99.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49a…f498backed Yes | 22c | 89.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 80c | 84.3$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 22c | 84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 77c | 81.92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 26c | 80.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked No | 80c | 60.08$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 26c | 53.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 78c | 52.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 75c | 46.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 74c | 39.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed No | 73c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…d6c6backed No | 75c | 30.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa43a…8b10backed No | 80c | 21.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked No | 80c | 13.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.76 | 36 | 83.3%30 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 78cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-03-28?this page
- Will FC Machida Zelvia vs. Kawasaki Frontale end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-03-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.