Fifa International · resolved market
Morocco vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b1fe277d8723e6bf6cffd407a0936fe071f072e937b5c0f53944b8e4564d9e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 2,281$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.96 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 32c | 1,491$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.51 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…3bccbacked Under | 11c | 708.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.03 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 15cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 68c | 442.41$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.69 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 390.35$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.91 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 69c | 260.87$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.87 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 31c | 260.87$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.87 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 176.87$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Over | 43c | 85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 47c | 79.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f6…7bd7backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 60c | 50.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 64c | 48.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 67c | 48.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 41c | 47.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 29c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05cd…598bbacked Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 34c | 30.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Morocco vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5this page
- Morocco vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Morocco vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Under won
- Morocco vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)Morocco won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.