Mls · resolved market
Toronto FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x616c5224a74f060ed714077b4cb51d4a5853752bca1752be2f761089a2419ed5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x912a…2e6abacked Under | 56c | 8,120$4,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,545.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…3bccbacked Under | 9c | 3,496$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 57c | 2,227$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.37 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 1,689$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.56 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 65c | 1,535$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 43c | 1,171$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.37 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 24c | 934.1$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +132%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 30c | 830$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 743.22$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.43 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 42c | 539.59$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.29 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 44c | 454.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.54 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 43c | 422.98$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.1 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a8…22f0backed Over | 47c | 370.2$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 41c | 305.51$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.22 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 39c | 299.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.99 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 44c | 284$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.04 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 44c | 284$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.04 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 44c | 282$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.92 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 40c | 276$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.41 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 43c | 242.51$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.23 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 21c | 186$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.29 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…f0bcbacked Over | 30c | 166.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 40c | 138.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.93 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over | 60c | 127.3$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 61c | 126.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 14c | 121.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under | 46c | 100.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 44c | 98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 32c | 96.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.37 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 23c | 95.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.58 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 40c | 79.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 46c | 76.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 64c | 63.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 43c | 63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 34c | 55.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 35c | 52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…92d6backed Over | 43c | 44.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 38c | 44.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 35c | 43.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 53c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Under | 43c | 33.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 45c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 61c | 29.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 38c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ee…31cabacked Over | 46c | 23.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 64c | 23.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 47c | 21.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ca…3397backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Toronto FC won
- Toronto FC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Toronto FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Toronto FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Toronto FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.