Mls · resolved market
Toronto FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fba426dc0a7bcf7ffb0b6229bd76a7fa750431b184d998600c9a00dda763dbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 48c | 3,922$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.64 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.78 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Under | 34c | 958.54$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.9 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 33c | 894.53$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.19 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 60c | 793.76$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.76 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 39c | 697.49$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.39 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 60c | 676.19$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.2 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 68c | 397.14$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.83 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 371.54$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.35 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 59c | 366.22$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.07 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 38c | 366.08$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.96 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 67c | 303.51$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.42 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.02 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 67c | 290.39$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.94 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Under | 29c | 290$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 41c | 244.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 39c | 209.17$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Under | 35c | 205$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 53c | 199.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 49c | 182.17$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 59c | 169.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 63c | 153$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 36c | 140.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 64c | 130$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 31c | 102$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 57c | 97.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 32c | 95.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 37c | 79.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -16.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 63c | 78.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 19c | 76.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 60c | 72.65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…6b58backed Over | 57c | 71.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 38c | 62.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 69c | 57.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Over | 60c | 56.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 46c | 56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 36c | 53.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ac…cec0backed Over | 70c | 52.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 56c | 51.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 33c | 49.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Over | 68c | 43.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Over | 49c | 40.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 31c | 37.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…401cbacked Under | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 38c | 31.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 68c | 24.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 66c | 22.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 60c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Over | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Toronto FC won
- Toronto FC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Toronto FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Toronto FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Toronto FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.