Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 84°F or higher on April 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x264e8c0e6abb75189603708463c4322a72299bd2d21df0fe5c75f7cb6066e708
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 36c | 778.14$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.89 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 44c | 481.64$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5d…5b70backed Yes | 39c | 400.55$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.71 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 47c | 391.2$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.44 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 21c | 307.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.81 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed No | 56c | 275.47$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.96 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked No | 62c | 249.98$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…b116backed No | 76c | 247.09$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.8 | 149 | 26.2%39 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…1c11backed Yes | 71c | 214.11$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.93 | 661 | 44.5%294 W · 367 L | +57.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 24c | 179.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.34 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 43c | 159.47$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.96 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 60c | 142.11$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.67 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed No | 52c | 133.57$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 28c | 132.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.42 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked Yes | 54c | 121.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 41c | 121.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 466 | 26%121 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed No | 80c | 118.86$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a91…983fbacked Yes | 43c | 115.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.51 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed05…9368backed No | 26c | 115.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 52c | 101.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 38c | 98.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b5…4768backed Yes | 39c | 95.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.83 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…6465backed Yes | 45c | 93.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.54 | 375 | 33.6%126 W · 249 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3887…9496backed No | 52c | 92.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 243 | 70%170 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab6…0a4cbacked No | 52c | 91.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…0b65backed No | 37c | 91.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed Yes | 55c | 85.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 60c | 84.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…d8cdbacked No | 55c | 83.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 332 | 43.1%143 W · 189 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65df…6144backed Yes | 50c | 83.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c51…7c37backed Yes | 32c | 79.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.48 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 27c | 78.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…d88cbacked Yes | 42c | 76.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb2…ad6fbacked Yes | 41c | 56.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 163 | 24.5%40 W · 123 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed Yes | 35c | 56.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 420 | 49%206 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked Yes | 55c | 55.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba1…ac85backed No | 53c | 55.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Yes | 72c | 54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…8dc7backed Yes | 46c | 52.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 133 | 22.6%30 W · 103 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…3428backed No | 65c | 51.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 188 | 45.2%85 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x857f…ddb7backed No | 59c | 51.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed No | 58c | 50.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 407 | 39.3%160 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f90…4e02backed Yes | 48c | 49.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 146 | 13.7%20 W · 126 L | -19.1wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…935bbacked No | 54c | 46.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 55c | 46.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 30c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…978bbacked No | 51c | 43.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 74c | 43.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…c777backed Yes | 44c | 42.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 53c | 42.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…c916backed Yes | 46c | 41.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…7451backed Yes | 37c | 39.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 64c | 38.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 44c | 37.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked Yes | 51c | 37.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…a003backed Yes | 38c | 37.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…36d1backed No | 42c | 36.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e9…fba8backed Yes | 38c | 34.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…9936backed Yes | 55c | 34.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 30c | 34.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…c659backed Yes | 57c | 34.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 41c | 32.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f2…c2a5backed Yes | 62c | 30.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Yes | 48c | 30.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 402 | 42.5%171 W · 231 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 60c | 30.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…0a7ebacked Yes | 47c | 29.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff9…a21abacked No | 53c | 28.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…4d70backed No | 48c | 27.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 84 | 66.7%56 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c71…431fbacked No | 64c | 25.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…c0bfbacked No | 58c | 24.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x069e…4636backed No | 52c | 24.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…9095backed Yes | 62c | 23.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 173 | 76.3%132 W · 41 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…9c69backed No | 48c | 23.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5e…a8cfbacked No | 54c | 22.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 68c | 22.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 59c | 22.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x142a…a44abacked No | 75c | 20.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…5c20backed Yes | 61c | 19.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes | 54c | 19.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 353 | 62.9%222 W · 131 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed Yes | 65c | 18.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…e37abacked Yes | 59c | 17.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 68c | 17.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…cf4abacked Yes | 70c | 17.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…faeabacked No | 64c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 311 | 70.7%220 W · 91 L | +42.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be 84°F or higher on April 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on April 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on April 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on April 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.