Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will NK Celje win on 2026-02-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e1ff2da24386d3da006124260aded3f6e13dc8e44ce280e5d7fc4501baaf9e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 19c | 46,644$8,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,947.48 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75fe…70eebacked No | 17c | 2,862$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 79c | 1,422$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.89 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 79c | 1,293$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.3 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 69c | 1,287$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.16 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 78c | 1,277$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.13 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed No | 7c | 1,104$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.27 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 6c | 999.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 22c | 811.38$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.27 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 16c | 571.22$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.11 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 72c | 567.12$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.9 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 67c | 499.64$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.88 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 30c | 487.49$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 69c | 447.23$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.64 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked No | 22c | 400$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 64c | 273.44$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.44 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 26c | 258$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 76c | 249.35$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 76c | 249.35$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 26c | 244.88$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.09 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 25c | 242.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 32c | 234.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 21c | 231$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 28c | 211.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 25c | 200.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed No | 25c | 155.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 31c | 151.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Yes | 72c | 149.71$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Yes | 63c | 141.81$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 16c | 139.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e8…6176backed Yes | 73c | 138.68$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 76c | 134.08$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 80c | 133.77$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 83 | 69.9%58 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked No | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…e914backed No | 20c | 126.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 80c | 111$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 65c | 105$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x508b…2797backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9a…3f4bbacked No | 28c | 96.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…2decbacked No | 26c | 96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 18c | 95.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 16c | 92.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 22c | 87.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 75c | 86.79$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 12c | 84.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…1dd4backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 75c | 76.01$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 18c | 67.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Yes | 75c | 56.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Yes | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Yes | 68c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Yes | 73c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Yes | 76c | 41.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 75c | 31.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 74c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…c9d0backed Yes | 70c | 28.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 70c | 28.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b4…0f62backed Yes | 78c | 25.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked Yes | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1c6ebacked Yes | 80c | 24.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 74c | 24.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Yes | 80c | 21.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 77c | 19.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 78c | 14.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 72c | 14.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NK Celje win on 2026-02-26?this page
- Will FC Drita win on 2026-02-26?No won
- Will NK Celje vs. FC Drita end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.