Serie A · resolved market
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3d4e46abfb5fd9c9b4bce89720495726ce5547b0ec0fa8d41bdcadd8f500cdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,495 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1748…a816backed No | 45c | 2,642$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.22 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 55c | 1,888$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.27 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 1,618$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.59 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…cef9backed Yes | 57c | 1,228$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked No | 45c | 881.97$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.09 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 27c | 338.94$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.85 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 55c | 190.6$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.83 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…b2b4backed Yes | 52c | 162.91$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 44c | 135.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 56c | 134$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…20e7backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked No | 40c | 87.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 49c | 71.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked No | 43c | 67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 44c | 66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Yes | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 60.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed No | 45c | 53.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef1…add2backed Yes | 56c | 47.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 55c | 36.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 44c | 31.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…9378backed Yes | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Yes | 39c | 25.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 52c | 23.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5Under won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Under won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.