TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,525

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,525 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Over49c38,303$18,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,734.378743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c24,900$13,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,885.642,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under51c10,686$5,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,235.9534643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.985550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c9,613$4,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,696.1522348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9204351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over49c6,000$2,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,909.9620544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c1,961$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.81,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51c8…3478backed Under52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under51c1,470$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.36659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over49c1,250$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.526040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over49c1,132$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55010650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over49c1,097$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.7120841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd411…7a18backed Over24c799.89$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.9860%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over49c637.65$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.634725.5%12 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+58.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c606.75$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.3133148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under54c568.89$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.0393252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over49c497.66$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.7840549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under51c453.07$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22212657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over49c307.74$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.6411349.6%56 W · 57 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.546047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over49c202.04$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997464.9%48 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d0…d2f0backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+51.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed Over49c183.67$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under53c163.02$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6310353.4%55 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe831…e4dabacked Over31c162.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010242.2%43 W · 59 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over48c160$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.87740.3%31 W · 46 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.52653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under54c141.04$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3923244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under29c132$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7246742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Over49c125$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+50.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7150…476bbacked Under51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Under51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.87953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x432f…0b4cbacked Over49c119.05$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under50c114.74$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3723353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under51c101.53$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.365254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4926747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224524.4%11 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under51c98.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0333144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under53c89.4$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3314553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502040%8 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over47c85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9534553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507657.9%44 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under51c82.69$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3711136.9%41 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed Under51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.27652.6%40 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Under51c79.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.27451.4%38 W · 36 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under51c78.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1521251.9%110 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under33c77.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5213445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under53c76.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.058752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under51c71.06$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.823056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under52c69.23$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.232365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Over49c68.28$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.462240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over49c65.51$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323040%12 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under51c64$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3616251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under51c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9149137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Over48c55.76$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.762560%15 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under51c54.88$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8919542.6%83 W · 112 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over48c53.2$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.544751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under54c50.43$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0724955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249257.6%53 W · 39 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Over46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234632.6%15 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8123…268cbacked Under52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.081421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.24per pick45cpaid-58.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under51c43.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5611150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Under30c43.65$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.462142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over45c42.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.253961.5%24 W · 15 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+26.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x311a…bf0fbacked Under78c42.68$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under50c42.02$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.01560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x402a…bf33backed Under51c42.02$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.482347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Under53c41.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.552240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc17…f3c4backed Over48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.22157.1%12 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+50%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Under52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.211255.4%62 W · 50 L+15.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+40.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under51c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.115267.3%35 W · 17 L+9.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Under51c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.111353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under51c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.111464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+41.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under52c36.92$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7216340.5%66 W · 97 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over70c35.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under68c35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.110759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over50c33.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6929862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9c87…7f4abacked Under51c32.55$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.89862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under51c27.88$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.663743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over46c26.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1891043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc3…1e73backed Over48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under52c22.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.734252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9856…7014backed Over48c21.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.563180.6%25 W · 6 L+6.5wins+0.21per pick60cpaid+42.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Under52c21.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under52c20.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1038547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbe…4d88backed Under51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick47cpaid+71.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over68c17.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.