Serie A · resolved market
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51bc31b0420697c1606b4005fabd25d1db218471051efc6df7014e4d384d633f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,525 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Over | 49c | 38,303$18,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,734.37 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 24,900$13,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,885.64 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 10,686$5,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,235.95 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.98 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 9,613$4,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,696.15 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 6,000$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,909.96 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 1,961$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.8 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c8…3478backed Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 51c | 1,470$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.3 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 49c | 1,250$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.5 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 49c | 1,132$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 49c | 1,097$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.71 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 24c | 799.89$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.98 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 49c | 637.65$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.63 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 606.75$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.31 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 568.89$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.03 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 497.66$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.78 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 51c | 453.07$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 49c | 307.74$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.64 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 49c | 202.04$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…d2f0backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Over | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 53c | 163.02$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.63 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…e4dabacked Over | 31c | 162.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 54c | 141.04$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.39 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 29c | 132$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Over | 49c | 125$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7150…476bbacked Under | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Under | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x432f…0b4cbacked Over | 49c | 119.05$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 50c | 114.74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 101.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 98.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 53c | 89.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 47c | 85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 51c | 82.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Under | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Under | 51c | 79.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 51c | 78.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 33c | 77.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 53c | 76.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 51c | 71.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 52c | 69.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Over | 49c | 68.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 49c | 65.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 51c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 51c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Over | 48c | 55.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 51c | 54.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 48c | 53.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 54c | 50.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8123…268cbacked Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 51c | 43.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Under | 30c | 43.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 45c | 42.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x311a…bf0fbacked Under | 78c | 42.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 50c | 42.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…bf33backed Under | 51c | 42.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +50%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +9.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 52c | 36.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 50c | 33.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…7f4abacked Under | 51c | 32.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 51c | 27.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 46c | 26.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 52c | 22.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Over | 48c | 21.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +6.5wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Under | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbe…4d88backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5Under won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.