Champions League · resolved market
Will Atletico Madrid beat RB Salzburg?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06b3d531a2d3cf11aa9d256d9430d56732fb396a71f63b447a3d8acb2d681725
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55d8…50c2backed Yes | 71c | 7,074$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 30c | 2,032$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.16 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.97 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 31c | 1,857$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.18 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 28c | 1,751$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.09 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 70c | 645.13$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.54 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 30c | 633.55$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.57 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Yes | 68c | 545.35$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.51 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde93…bef4backed Yes | 70c | 268.97$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.69 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 29c | 254.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.49 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 26c | 246.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…5160backed No | 31c | 243.35$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…4689backed No | 33c | 222.76$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed Yes | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…5cdbbacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x109f…1c5bbacked Yes | 71c | 96.77$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce8…83fabacked Yes | 71c | 89.23$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf47a…2d0abacked Yes | 71c | 79.52$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…bf66backed Yes | 71c | 78.93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…0384backed Yes | 71c | 76.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4e…2111backed Yes | 71c | 73.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1276…6d30backed Yes | 68c | 43.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Yes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…1b46backed Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…41c4backed Yes | 70c | 34.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75b…08a6backed Yes | 69c | 33.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…923bbacked Yes | 69c | 33.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…6a05backed Yes | 70c | 32.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f83…77cdbacked Yes | 69c | 31.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x572c…fc50backed Yes | 69c | 31.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3afe…b739backed Yes | 69c | 31.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…181dbacked Yes | 68c | 28.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb00…15fabacked Yes | 68c | 26.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf07a…0863backed Yes | 70c | 25.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8831…d1c6backed Yes | 68c | 22.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…4b94backed Yes | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320a…ffe0backed Yes | 69c | 19.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7475…e0cfbacked Yes | 69c | 19.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…6d0ebacked Yes | 72c | 16.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…d122backed Yes | 70c | 16.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb512…94febacked Yes | 69c | 15.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd122…55c4backed Yes | 69c | 15.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830e…4fcebacked Yes | 72c | 15.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4592…c0e1backed Yes | 68c | 15.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 68c | 14.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atletico Madrid beat RB Salzburg?this page
- Will RB Salzburg beat Atletico Madrid?No won
- Will the match between RB Salzburg and Atletico Madrid end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.