NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ec97ba5b46689f24bf814bda6b8b29854b3246b6c7e75db300b1b068f1bdd8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Spurs, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $224,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 431 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Grizzlies | 63c | 17,308$10,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,365.88 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Spurs | 14c | 16,894$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.21 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs | 11c | 10,735$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.49 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Spurs | 33c | 8,992$2,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925.91 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Spurs | 18c | 6,684$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.63 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Spurs | 36c | 6,528$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.17 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Spurs | 30c | 5,503$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.49 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Spurs | 19c | 5,176$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.9 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Spurs | 34c | 4,577$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a16…33dbbacked Grizzlies | 69c | 4,396$3,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.85 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Spurs | 42c | 3,992$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.01 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Grizzlies | 79c | 3,986$3,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.28 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Grizzlies | 60c | 3,334$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.49 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Spurs | 39c | 3,230$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.85 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Spurs | 35c | 2,646$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.41 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Spurs | 1c | 2,500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Spurs | 32c | 2,091$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Grizzlies | 64c | 2,000$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.5 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Spurs | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Grizzlies | 60c | 1,957$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.45 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Grizzlies | 64c | 1,926$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.96 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Grizzlies | 62c | 1,823$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.45 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…bbcbbacked Grizzlies | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Spurs | 36c | 1,524$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.85 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Grizzlies | 66c | 1,516$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.7 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Spurs | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Spurs | 42c | 1,422$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.11 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs | 40c | 1,410$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.84 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201f…1bbdbacked Grizzlies | 68c | 1,400$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…019abacked Spurs | 32c | 1,400$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd837…ba4abacked Spurs | 41c | 1,374$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Grizzlies | 62c | 1,308$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.12 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies | 66c | 1,048$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.75 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…ca9abacked Grizzlies | 74c | 1,047$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Grizzlies | 67c | 1,000$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Grizzlies | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Spurs | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies | 62c | 975$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.6 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x026a…2f8abacked Spurs | 13c | 900$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Grizzlies | 62c | 834$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.92 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Spurs | 36c | 832.38$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.96 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Spurs | 41c | 771$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.11 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Spurs | 36c | 770.07$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.22 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Spurs | 2c | 750$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Spurs | 33c | 749.99$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Grizzlies | 57c | 744.79$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.26 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Grizzlies | 62c | 679.97$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.79 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Spurs | 45c | 665.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.06 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Grizzlies | 58c | 599.98$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.99 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Spurs | 12c | 590$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Spurs | 28c | 560.17$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.43 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Spurs | 40c | 543.76$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.98 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6c…42b2backed Grizzlies | 59c | 529.22$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.98 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Grizzlies | 61c | 524.59$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.59 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Spurs | 39c | 504.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.87 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…ac3ebacked Grizzlies | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…d6eabacked Spurs | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…bbd0backed Grizzlies | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b42…5090backed Grizzlies | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…87c7backed Spurs | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…40fabacked Spurs | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0c…95dabacked Spurs | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…41f3backed Spurs | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1a…13babacked Grizzlies | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…8f94backed Spurs | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa309…66a4backed Spurs | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22dd…5d99backed Spurs | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c9…629cbacked Spurs | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…e576backed Grizzlies | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf8…db7fbacked Spurs | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf34e…eb5cbacked Spurs | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…a680backed Spurs | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a37…ebb3backed Grizzlies | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068e…f8b6backed Grizzlies | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800d…e0b1backed Spurs | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ce…d6b4backed Grizzlies | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f9…a490backed Spurs | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ea…63d9backed Grizzlies | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8464…0982backed Spurs | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab8…7b58backed Spurs | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…fcbdbacked Grizzlies | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x555e…888abacked Grizzlies | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb89…aff7backed Grizzlies | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…caaebacked Spurs | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd83b…1cccbacked Grizzlies | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d2…5e8dbacked Spurs | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa686…6a20backed Grizzlies | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…3751backed Spurs | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…b8d3backed Spurs | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1944…019abacked Grizzlies | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23af…3026backed Grizzlies | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…d3e6backed Spurs | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8e…0f54backed Grizzlies | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…eed7backed Grizzlies | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x369a…d5adbacked Spurs | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a5…b2d1backed Grizzlies | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477b…64afbacked Spurs | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbec…4f06backed Spurs | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ba…d5d3backed Grizzlies | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…ffaabacked Spurs | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.