Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Porto beat Olympiacos?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d7be0a4d4766eff77ec08cae5e76a04ba748a869c94316e77b3259168002515
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 77c | 1,454$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.42 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 46c | 1,323$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.72 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x950c…76f2backed Yes | 54c | 1,204$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 43c | 1,121$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 47c | 744.33$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.12 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 59c | 700$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e6…d62dbacked Yes | 48c | 700$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 41c | 548.07$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.63 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 40c | 483.81$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.28 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 54c | 398.18$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.39 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Yes | 54c | 343.92$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Yes | 56c | 340$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b7…11bfbacked No | 44c | 340$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3057…7a96backed Yes | 62c | 279.15$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 40c | 192.15$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.83 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 64c | 166.77$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeff3…8112backed Yes | 57c | 103.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8767…a37fbacked Yes | 58c | 98.22$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 40c | 81.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…b909backed Yes | 43c | 68.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7221…df5ebacked Yes | 57c | 53.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…fb92backed No | 45c | 44.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553e…2e13backed Yes | 54c | 43.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…7d08backed Yes | 46c | 43.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…7ca5backed No | 45c | 42.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b73…04b9backed Yes | 55c | 42.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…1d8ebacked No | 42c | 42.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +101%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…d5eebacked Yes | 55c | 42.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x820e…71d2backed Yes | 56c | 42.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86dc…9cafbacked Yes | 55c | 40.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64a…21dabacked Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd64b…c3cdbacked Yes | 56c | 39.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2507…3e53backed No | 44c | 34.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cc…12acbacked Yes | 59c | 33.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…dd0fbacked No | 41c | 33.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +135.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe6…decabacked No | 41c | 32.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 41c | 29.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf202…4c1fbacked Yes | 54c | 28.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…bfffbacked No | 41c | 27.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…e87fbacked Yes | 54c | 27.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…039bbacked Yes | 58c | 24.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…4e29backed No | 45c | 23.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…06ebbacked Yes | 59c | 18.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Porto beat Olympiacos?this page
- Will Olympiacos beat FC Porto?Yes won
- Will the match between FC Porto and Olympiacos end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.