College Football · resolved market
Will Ohio State win by 6 or more points?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca10b7168ab3684265a8fb95429da1ed1535f50b0243d9eca9f2c2e8acf5a911
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohio Stof Ohio St, Texas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Ohio St | 52c | 30,000$15,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,500 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…c487backed Texas | 51c | 29,260$14,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,844.87 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Texas | 47c | 11,240$5,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,282.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Ohio St | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.13 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +324.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Ohio St | 52c | 2,403$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Ohio St | 52c | 1,632$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.66 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Ohio St | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 33cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Texas | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed Ohio St | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Ohio St | 55c | 342.37$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.07 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed Ohio St | 52c | 208.08$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.88 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Ohio St | 48c | 187.66$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.56 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…9441backed Ohio St | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71eb…8f3dbacked Ohio St | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Ohio St | 52c | 102.31$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.11 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…b5c8backed Ohio St | 52c | 66.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Ohio St | 52c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked Texas | 48c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf20…c563backed Texas | 51c | 64.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4714…6ebebacked Texas | 51c | 49.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…9526backed Ohio St | 52c | 46.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0a…5257backed Ohio St | 52c | 45.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e3…d649backed Ohio St | 56c | 43.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Ohio St | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb557…21d1backed Ohio St | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1099…6716backed Texas | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf2…b601backed Ohio St | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e5…607bbacked Ohio St | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ohio State win by 6 or more points?this page
- Will Ohio State and Texas combine for 54 or more combined points scored?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.