College Football · resolved market
Will Ohio State and Texas combine for 54 or more combined points scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17b2a17ddbde349b1c63458f7b230ec55f10156c854073c20767d3225b6f4c64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Under | 55c | 1,446$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.52 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed Over | 45c | 446.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 54c | 344.78$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…9441backed Under | 79c | 254.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Over | 46c | 154.78$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Over | 10c | 104.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Over | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 31c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c1…0cfebacked Under | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ohio State and Texas combine for 54 or more combined points scored?this page
- Will Ohio State win by 6 or more points?Ohio St won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.