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NHL · resolved market

Flyers vs. Avalanche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Flyers, Avalanche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,997
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,054

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,997 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0254…34b3backed Avalanche68c27,647$18,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,801.591376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Flyers32c20,679$6,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,622.4235545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Flyers18c10,256$1,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.6492848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Flyers33c4,479$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.983650%18 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Avalanche67c4,478$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.612441.7%10 W · 14 L-5.9wins-0.25per pick66cpaid-42.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Flyers15c4,114$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.0532331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Avalanche66c1,781$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.856149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Flyers27c1,724$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.348744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Flyers22c1,511$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.813,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Flyers30c1,366$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.3449351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Flyers4c1,222$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.541,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Flyers34c1,203$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.48812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-78.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Flyers32c1,108$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36079251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Flyers35c1,007$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.410739.3%42 W · 65 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers32c800.06$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.021,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Avalanche65c698.65$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.5354349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Flyers31c665.82$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.3725340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed Avalanche66c606.26$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.13450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+84.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed Avalanche66c604.49$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.731060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Flyers34c505$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.2872444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Flyers33c390.9$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1299251.1%47 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7524…2149backed Flyers39c348.21$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.84245.2%19 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Flyers38c315.79$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12028542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Flyers33c303.05$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5960549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0c…76fabacked Flyers32c301.34$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.054548.9%22 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb963…cefebacked Avalanche65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-78%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6cca…a0bebacked Avalanche65c295$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.25966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe87…8b1dbacked Flyers35c295$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.25966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fdd…0661backed Flyers35c290$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.51050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Flyers7c281.96$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.521895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Avalanche65c250$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.521255.7%118 W · 94 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Flyers34c227.27$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.273225%8 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-38.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Flyers33c213.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.388932.6%29 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Avalanche66c201.45$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4975155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Avalanche66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Flyers34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9fc…57e9backed Avalanche68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche66c199.97$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9966951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf26…b387backed Flyers35c182.86$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Flyers32c180.42$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5584051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2105…64adbacked Flyers35c180.01$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…3409backed Flyers35c179.94$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.981250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Flyers32c167$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2648149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Avalanche66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Avalanche67c150.57$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6938040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Flyers34c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.449251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc93…4249backed Avalanche67c149.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.268254.9%45 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Flyers34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e2a…0e15backed Flyers35c143.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Flyers35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506137.7%23 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2235…d67fbacked Avalanche68c117.74$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.747062.9%44 W · 26 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf8d5…c1fcbacked Flyers35c115.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.51154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a60…5d6ebacked Flyers35c105.6$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.96650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+41.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Flyers35c102.86$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3662944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Avalanche65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3527643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Avalanche79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219553.7%51 W · 44 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Avalanche66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3473157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0c…1330backed Flyers35c96$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.41666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7ac…3b94backed Flyers21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb222…2241backed Avalanche67c94.4$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.15944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e5…cff1backed Avalanche68c94.12$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92fd…f454backed Flyers34c93.54$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1fb…5a80backed Avalanche67c86.09$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.41560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb212…42b9backed Flyers34c82.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb92…a880backed Avalanche67c80.33$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.511258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Avalanche66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.761,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x113a…5696backed Avalanche67c74.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.751070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c2f…b4d3backed Avalanche68c70.19$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.46812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick52cpaid-81.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Flyers35c67.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.561,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1942…1e2fbacked Avalanche67c66.6$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.98650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d8…9a77backed Avalanche72c65$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.257861.5%48 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x232e…bd62backed Avalanche67c63.6$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0c…ad39backed Flyers34c62.56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.27771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+49.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeed4…d04fbacked Flyers33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Avalanche67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.745954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ac…679cbacked Flyers35c54.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dce…38ecbacked Avalanche68c49.12$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.724045%18 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick36cpaid-9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x78ce…ac67backed Avalanche67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.78944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Flyers34c44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9624546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b46…2389backed Avalanche67c42.85$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.14825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-62.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ae4…4f84backed Flyers34c42.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.77650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dfb…5ac1backed Avalanche67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Flyers34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.63132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x92a0…4831backed Flyers34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.63545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Avalanche66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8819852.5%104 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ab…7d33backed Avalanche67c37.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.32771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1984…241ebacked Avalanche67c37.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.318445.2%38 W · 46 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2066…617cbacked Avalanche67c37.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.31771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ea…2dd0backed Avalanche68c36.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.762857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb069…bb0cbacked Avalanche66c35.85$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.19425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc373…b826backed Flyers34c35.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b5…9e17backed Flyers34c35.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.14944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc9…bef0backed Avalanche65c33.63$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.773100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc834…480dbacked Avalanche66c32.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.01580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f2…5a8bbacked Flyers33c32.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Avalanche67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.976450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb040…b6fabacked Avalanche67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Avalanche67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8512369.9%86 W · 37 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b1a…4a50backed Avalanche67c28.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.451250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xce56…2413backed Avalanche67c28.46$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.