Olympics · resolved market
Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. France
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51a35b7127566e4139a47a51bf91f6588860208bf82973898bc93557e282d0bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Switzerlandof Switzerland, France
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $243,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb68…a240backed France | 7c | 59,434$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160.37 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked France | 7c | 42,158$2,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,756.68 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed France | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed France | 7c | 7,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…2394backed France | 0c | 6,262$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed France | 0c | 5,488$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked France | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked France | 8c | 3,125$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked France | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…8861backed France | 8c | 2,450$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked France | 8c | 2,055$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.43 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked France | 1c | 1,809$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked France | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed France | 7c | 699.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked France | 8c | 677.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked France | 7c | 537.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked France | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307f…2c81backed France | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985e…6894backed France | 8c | 390.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…a368backed France | 7c | 346.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ee…5a77backed France | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked France | 7c | 182.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…d630backed France | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…f345backed France | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0adc…e500backed France | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -31%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba02…6666backed France | 12c | 122.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.