Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-02-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd0c26314434bf530d48d76e5212e36048c2376d4a68b1a4e3832d28ce771669
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 18c | 7,341$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.04 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 19c | 3,050$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.5 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 16c | 2,613$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.76 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 80c | 1,900$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.7 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 20c | 1,744$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.37 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 18c | 1,248$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.44 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -8.3wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 26c | 562.04$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.14 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed No | 18c | 256.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed No | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 20c | 249.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked Yes | 76c | 214.25$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 20c | 204.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -12.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 19c | 181.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…2decbacked No | 20c | 143.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked No | 19c | 142.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Yes | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 21c | 125$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1c6ebacked No | 19c | 71.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 80c | 68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 20c | 67.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…2394backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Yes | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x322d…37febacked No | 20c | 56.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 22c | 54.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 78c | 33.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5683…3ea1backed Yes | 74c | 28.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Yes | 78c | 28.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 71c | 28.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 70c | 18.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0c04…c81abacked Yes | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-02-26?this page
- Will KKS Lech Poznań vs. Kuopion PS end in a draw?No won
- Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-02-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.