Olympics · resolved market
Men's Group C - Latvia vs. USA
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51027cf9937cb467b488494983a740c6ab380c623231294b2be0efa95daa31e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- USAof Latvia, USA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $429,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $428,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $429,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Latvia | 7c | 129,144$9,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,144.95 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1353…99b2backed Latvia | 2c | 54,961$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Latvia | 6c | 32,478$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.69 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x284b…f1ddbacked Latvia | 2c | 26,228$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Latvia | 1c | 9,415$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.91 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f70…fbb1backed Latvia | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Latvia | 7c | 3,500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Latvia | 5c | 3,364$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Latvia | 1c | 3,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Latvia | 7c | 2,700$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Latvia | 5c | 2,565$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.61 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c6…8ff0backed Latvia | 7c | 2,286$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Latvia | 5c | 2,181$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.05 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Latvia | 8c | 2,050$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca58…a093backed Latvia | 5c | 1,949$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked Latvia | 4c | 1,804$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Latvia | 7c | 1,752$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0268…09f7backed Latvia | 7c | 1,411$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Latvia | 5c | 1,379$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Latvia | 5c | 1,327$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Latvia | 7c | 1,270$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.91 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Latvia | 5c | 1,171$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Latvia | 7c | 1,083$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Latvia | 2c | 1,061$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Latvia | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd258…9dfdbacked Latvia | 5c | 966.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Latvia | 4c | 900$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe201…6d5cbacked Latvia | 7c | 900$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…6e67backed Latvia | 6c | 800$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked Latvia | 5c | 784.83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Latvia | 5c | 750$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Latvia | 7c | 722$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e00…1d76backed Latvia | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4349…eb9dbacked Latvia | 6c | 674.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70e7…a700backed Latvia | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Latvia | 11c | 594.46$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…f99ebacked Latvia | 7c | 534.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Latvia | 4c | 517.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Latvia | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb960…8c47backed Latvia | 3c | 499.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98c…bf06backed Latvia | 5c | 460$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0b…44fdbacked Latvia | 4c | 444.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ee…5a77backed Latvia | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked Latvia | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…a368backed Latvia | 6c | 404.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Latvia | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…05f9backed Latvia | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3d…1404backed Latvia | 6c | 383.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Latvia | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 32cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d32…b029backed Latvia | 8c | 346.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Latvia | 6c | 328$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -70%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985e…6894backed Latvia | 7c | 322.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Latvia | 8c | 321.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Latvia | 6c | 317$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f37…c150backed Latvia | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10c1…9197backed Latvia | 6c | 286.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2786…bae9backed Latvia | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b18…ab72backed Latvia | 11c | 284.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…aa75backed Latvia | 7c | 271.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339e…400abacked Latvia | 4c | 269.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…1c2dbacked Latvia | 6c | 266.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…593cbacked Latvia | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…ccd8backed Latvia | 6c | 233.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623c…3523backed Latvia | 9c | 228.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Latvia | 6c | 222.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…14e0backed Latvia | 6c | 216.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked Latvia | 6c | 210$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e0…fb2cbacked Latvia | 7c | 209.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cff…c6ccbacked Latvia | 5c | 205.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Latvia | 6c | 200.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Latvia | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…fa87backed Latvia | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…f5f4backed Latvia | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked Latvia | 7c | 199.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Latvia | 6c | 166.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe606…081dbacked Latvia | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…f1adbacked Latvia | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951b…291abacked Latvia | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Latvia | 7c | 149.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…3f14backed Latvia | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471e…290cbacked Latvia | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cb…73d7backed Latvia | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.