Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Angers SCO vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf60f719da33241b1ef760d24af91863abe315d350655d242479dbdd4e15f9cf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 1,950$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.71 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Yes | 26c | 1,902$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbc…71c1backed No | 78c | 1,820$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 16c | 1,405$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.12 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 4c | 878.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 870.5$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 15c | 455.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.79 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 22c | 331.55$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.94 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Yes | 7c | 202.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 23c | 199.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked No | 75c | 146.8$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 10c | 135.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 76c | 131.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 94.66$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6a…b518backed Yes | 24c | 76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed Yes | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 23c | 65.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 77c | 61.3$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa840…63a4backed Yes | 24c | 53.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080b…0350backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c37…9e0cbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…9362backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fd…d003backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2036…0f0fbacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f06…c772backed Yes | 24c | 49.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a30…358abacked Yes | 24c | 44.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…9da6backed Yes | 23c | 44.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2c…b875backed No | 77c | 18.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…9295backed No | 77c | 18.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5810…776ebacked No | 77c | 17.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x263e…2976backed No | 77c | 17.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdf…c524backed No | 77c | 17.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23c4…f812backed No | 78c | 15.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…0eedbacked No | 78c | 14.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5e…8919backed No | 77c | 14.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb578…ea1abacked No | 76c | 13.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92ae…73a2backed No | 77c | 13.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2090…bb62backed No | 77c | 13.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…c78ebacked No | 78c | 13.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Angers SCO vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?this page
- Will Angers SCO win on 2026-01-17?No won
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.