Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f33a519be833557bd37c08cbcae80ef94b38dfe28feba515220fde593d4b776
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VfB Stuttgartof VfB Stuttgart, Go Ahead Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed VfB Stuttgart | 49c | 2,238$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.16 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Go Ahead Eagles | 52c | 1,450$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked VfB Stuttgart | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Go Ahead Eagles | 56c | 892$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.52 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked VfB Stuttgart | 46c | 500.96$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.18 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Go Ahead Eagles | 51c | 451.69$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.36 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…621cbacked VfB Stuttgart | 48c | 415$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Go Ahead Eagles | 55c | 351.98$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.89 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -11.8wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x933a…d3c1backed VfB Stuttgart | 47c | 232.3$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Go Ahead Eagles | 54c | 198$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.92 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…dc27backed Go Ahead Eagles | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed VfB Stuttgart | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed VfB Stuttgart | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Go Ahead Eagles | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed VfB Stuttgart | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Go Ahead Eagles | 55c | 87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked VfB Stuttgart | 49c | 81.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 152 | 24.3%37 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Go Ahead Eagles | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…e227backed Go Ahead Eagles | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked VfB Stuttgart | 49c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Go Ahead Eagles | 55c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -77%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Go Ahead Eagles | 55c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Go Ahead Eagles | 56c | 53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Go Ahead Eagles | 54c | 50.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked VfB Stuttgart | 41c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Go Ahead Eagles | 55c | 43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Go Ahead Eagles | 55c | 43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…2286backed Go Ahead Eagles | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Go Ahead Eagles | 53c | 27.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Go Ahead Eagles | 55c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -12.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Go Ahead Eagles | 55c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Go Ahead Eagles | 55c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Go Ahead Eagles | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Go Ahead Eagles | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Go Ahead Eagles | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Go Ahead Eagles | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Go Ahead Eagles | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Go Ahead Eagles | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Go Ahead Eagles | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Go Ahead Eagles | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…81d1backed Go Ahead Eagles | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Go Ahead Eagles | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0235…472ebacked VfB Stuttgart | 64c | 19.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)this page
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.