Fifa International · resolved market
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 6.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0799c9dc4756db6a12d9d197e1a8496ca505cda1be34e383859289558e498ffc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 30c | 13,191$3,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,227.37 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 70c | 8,956$6,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,261.29 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 61c | 5,626$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 63c | 4,570$2,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…5442backed Over | 36c | 3,589$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.86 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Over | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.45 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 61c | 2,505$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.77 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 52c | 2,112$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.54 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 19c | 993.06$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Under | 63c | 891.58$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.7 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 57c | 588.51$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.8 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1556…b722backed Over | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 296 | 39.5%117 W · 179 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56aa…c754backed Over | 65c | 459.92$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.94 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 19c | 449.62$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Over | 39c | 349.98$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.49 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…5ab3backed Over | 29c | 308.7$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.64 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8b…25b7backed Over | 39c | 275.74$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd842…775bbacked Over | 37c | 270$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 50c | 254.78$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.21 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 63c | 237.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.89 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb172…7862backed Over | 44c | 226$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.56 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…88a5backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 71c | 175.24$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.42 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d0…7b12backed Over | 56c | 168.15$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…80acbacked Under | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 135 | 28.1%38 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d47…25c5backed Under | 45c | 157.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 58c | 156.21$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.61 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 19c | 143.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Over | 37c | 137.84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 235 | 28.1%66 W · 169 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Over | 31c | 132.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.58 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Over | 37c | 131.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.06 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 59c | 126.96$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 16c | 100.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…1e9fbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…3c18backed Over | 36c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed Under | 71c | 87.62$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Under | 17c | 65.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 73c | 63.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 318 | 53.1%169 W · 149 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Under | 72c | 55.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 46c | 43.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…034bbacked Over | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0235…472ebacked Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Over | 36c | 36.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 254 | 45.3%115 W · 139 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…27abbacked Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…8294backed Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Under | 55c | 25.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…c2d7backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…d7abbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…b01fbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…cdc3backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f95…cc19backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb67a…340bbacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Team to Take First CornerColombia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.