Fifa International · resolved market
Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 4.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a93ce0b2b0c5de8d2eba73642e3bddf79aea02702346e8cfcfc803771619a86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 41c | 1,952$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.68 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 8c | 1,775$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.17 | 203 | 37.9%77 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 59c | 1,448$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.5 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 41c | 1,211$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.73 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 60c | 1,026$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.12 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 61c | 891.99$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.47 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Under | 41c | 538.85$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.92 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 60c | 521.65$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.99 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 44c | 513.05$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.31 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Over | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 56c | 484$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.04 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 43c | 267.18$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.28 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…3ec7backed Over | 60c | 188.7$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0703…c925backed Over | 56c | 185.52$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.89 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 58c | 175$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 41c | 175$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.09 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…ed31backed Over | 58c | 143$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 41c | 134.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.03 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Over | 60c | 69.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7895…e806backed Under | 68c | 62.87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 21c | 59.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…c24ebacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 131 | 25.2%33 W · 98 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 41c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Over | 59c | 33.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 297 | 66.7%198 W · 99 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 324 | 33.6%109 W · 215 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Team to Take First CornerColombia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.