Fifa International · resolved market
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11902e16c8c23abe8bf2d60cd406af9857a5fbacca5c6e62050079840fb514a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0569…f656backed Under | 68c | 7,302$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.9 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Under | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 32c | 4,300$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Over | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…e7a8backed Over | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 296 | 33.4%99 W · 197 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 31c | 1,679$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.44 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 32c | 1,562$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…a272backed Under | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 78c | 1,345$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.45 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x580e…38cdbacked Over | 33c | 891.72$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.27 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 19c | 884.27$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.33 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 32c | 883.67$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.77 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb500…1cdebacked Under | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 174 | 53.4%93 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 69c | 415.54$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.82 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 32c | 405.96$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.88 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…5442backed Over | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 7c | 291.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 31c | 249.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 7c | 238$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 67c | 204.98$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.82 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 15c | 178$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 68c | 177.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 68c | 159.96$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 16c | 156.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 32c | 137$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 32c | 123.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 9c | 112.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Under | 68c | 109.56$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Under | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | +19.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 33c | 82.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 324 | 44.1%143 W · 181 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 322 | 54%174 W · 148 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 75c | 47.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 65c | 45.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 33c | 44.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd8…1a9bbacked Under | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Under | 68c | 35.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ca…c806backed Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Team to Take First CornerColombia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.