Fifa International · resolved market
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba34d75445d53253860d6139fff707357578445d8646e2ed91ba7f7828fe1fe9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 77c | 3,265$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.22 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…e7a8backed Over | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 296 | 33.4%99 W · 197 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x580e…38cdbacked Over | 24c | 2,059$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 78c | 1,281$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.05 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked Under | 77c | 1,007$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.6 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 78c | 847.25$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.76 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Under | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 23c | 638$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.74 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47b9…27b4backed Over | 17c | 599.66$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 76c | 570.99$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.3 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…f36fbacked Under | 77c | 503.47$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.8 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…5442backed Over | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…6123backed Over | 24c | 356.21$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e6…f893backed Over | 28c | 330.69$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.81 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Over | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 28.1%66 W · 169 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 72c | 190.78$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 22c | 187.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc924…b6acbacked Over | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 12c | 163.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 76c | 159.64$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 22c | 159$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…371ebacked Over | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +14.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…2f38backed Under | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 22c | 49.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 24c | 45.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 73c | 33.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c05…fabfbacked Under | 75c | 28.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 70 | 78.6%55 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2b39backed Under | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 76c | 17.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Colombia vs. Portugal: Team to Take First CornerColombia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.