Tennis · resolved market
Chile Open: Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa893757e4881e960578cea7bf8538acaee2812c8b2110f63bfde382ea650fdd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luciano Darderiof Sebastian Baez, Luciano Darderi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $310,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $333,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $310,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sebastian Baez | 10c | 56,004$5,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,689.65 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Sebastian Baez | 4c | 25,155$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.92 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Sebastian Baez | 3c | 19,705$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.57 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b4…13c9backed Luciano Darderi | 60c | 13,051$7,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,169.2 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Sebastian Baez | 45c | 12,125$5,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500.79 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Luciano Darderi | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.99 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Luciano Darderi | 70c | 8,121$5,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.88 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Luciano Darderi | 60c | 7,620$4,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,048 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Sebastian Baez | 40c | 6,705$2,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.11 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Sebastian Baez | 4c | 6,613$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.15 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd5…d06bbacked Sebastian Baez | 29c | 6,557$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.9 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sebastian Baez | 20c | 6,174$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.27 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Luciano Darderi | 61c | 5,778$3,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.92 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc44…e036backed Sebastian Baez | 18c | 5,558$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.4 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Luciano Darderi | 50c | 5,254$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.95 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +34.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Sebastian Baez | 39c | 5,201$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.2 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Luciano Darderi | 61c | 4,098$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.36 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Luciano Darderi | 74c | 3,992$2,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.41 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Sebastian Baez | 14c | 3,603$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.85 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Sebastian Baez | 40c | 3,250$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d7…0501backed Luciano Darderi | 60c | 3,127$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.77 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Sebastian Baez | 16c | 3,043$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x895f…cfadbacked Sebastian Baez | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Luciano Darderi | 79c | 2,537$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.34 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Sebastian Baez | 26c | 2,200$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce4…62fcbacked Sebastian Baez | 34c | 2,000$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.12 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…9c40backed Sebastian Baez | 32c | 1,910$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.4 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Sebastian Baez | 40c | 1,824$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc635…9052backed Luciano Darderi | 60c | 1,738$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.58 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +12.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…f991backed Luciano Darderi | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Luciano Darderi | 55c | 1,215$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.55 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Luciano Darderi | 61c | 1,156$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.36 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Sebastian Baez | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Sebastian Baez | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…3bf8backed Sebastian Baez | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Sebastian Baez | 18c | 988.65$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.97 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Sebastian Baez | 40c | 928$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.28 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Sebastian Baez | 23c | 922.49$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.33 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Luciano Darderi | 80c | 848.91$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.78 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Sebastian Baez | 38c | 826.56$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.09 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Luciano Darderi | 61c | 819.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.66 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8612…6a0abacked Sebastian Baez | 35c | 816.97$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.2 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sebastian Baez | 28c | 783.28$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.71 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e24…c746backed Luciano Darderi | 67c | 691.22$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.54 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Luciano Darderi | 54c | 648.73$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.73 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Luciano Darderi | 62c | 563.45$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.11 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Sebastian Baez | 25c | 551.52$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Sebastian Baez | 28c | 514$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.34 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Sebastian Baez | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Luciano Darderi | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b84…a239backed Luciano Darderi | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Sebastian Baez | 21c | 478.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.21 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sebastian Baez | 22c | 477.73$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Sebastian Baez | 39c | 474.41$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.02 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6d…fa35backed Luciano Darderi | 61c | 467.21$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Sebastian Baez | 14c | 466.67$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…fbdabacked Sebastian Baez | 25c | 460.52$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.13 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked Sebastian Baez | 6c | 454.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Luciano Darderi | 61c | 430.74$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.93 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Sebastian Baez | 19c | 427$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 279 | 35.8%100 W · 179 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Sebastian Baez | 28c | 400$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Sebastian Baez | 21c | 380.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Sebastian Baez | 39c | 369.33$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.04 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sebastian Baez | 9c | 368.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…56ecbacked Sebastian Baez | 43c | 350.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Luciano Darderi | 73c | 337.94$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.28 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Sebastian Baez | 19c | 336.28$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Luciano Darderi | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Luciano Darderi | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b4…150ebacked Sebastian Baez | 49c | 320.48$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.44 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Luciano Darderi | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Sebastian Baez | 39c | 311$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.29 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…2509backed Sebastian Baez | 51c | 280.9$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.94 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e4…7310backed Sebastian Baez | 36c | 275$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b01…125ebacked Sebastian Baez | 16c | 266.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Sebastian Baez | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Sebastian Baez | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 58.1%126 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Sebastian Baez | 19c | 255.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 333 | 26.4%88 W · 245 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…cb26backed Sebastian Baez | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Sebastian Baez | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +6.1wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…a351backed Luciano Darderi | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 352 | 68.2%240 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…3373backed Sebastian Baez | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Sebastian Baez | 39c | 226.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Luciano Darderi | 60c | 220$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6349…bf5abacked Sebastian Baez | 38c | 212.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Luciano Darderi | 62c | 211.24$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.27 | 370 | 71.9%266 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Sebastian Baez | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Luciano Darderi | 49c | 204.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.69 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Luciano Darderi | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Luciano Darderi | 62c | 195$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Sebastian Baez | 39c | 169.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Sebastian Baez | 39c | 166.66$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Luciano Darderi | 61c | 165$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Sebastian Baez | 35c | 162.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…07f5backed Luciano Darderi | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Luciano Darderi | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Luciano Darderi | 68c | 135.59$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…d019backed Sebastian Baez | 18c | 130$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Sebastian Baez | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Sebastian Baez | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 509 | 52.1%265 W · 244 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chile Open: Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderithis page
- Baez vs. Darderi: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Baez vs DarderiDarderi won
- Set Handicap: Darderi (-1.5) vs Baez (+1.5)Darderi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.