Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x418f3dc6bf1073668581a9b16526364544f4073356359a97405fc388733e823a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83a3…4d2bbacked Yes | 73c | 2,205$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.36 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb991…aa11backed No | 3c | 753.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 33c | 635.63$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.23 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 31c | 588.99$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.81 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 53c | 346.12$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.44 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 33c | 343.6$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.04 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 15c | 304.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 43c | 302$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.52 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 42c | 259.69$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.78 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…17c0backed Yes | 46c | 147.58$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.69 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked No | 22c | 141.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 56c | 138.49$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…c08ebacked No | 67c | 129.08$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.07 | 570 | 38.1%217 W · 353 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…c61bbacked No | 22c | 122.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 17c | 113.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…e1b0backed Yes | 77c | 106.31$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 51c | 105.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6754backed Yes | 77c | 99.86$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 354 | 65%230 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff3…a737backed Yes | 79c | 99.72$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…c493backed No | 25c | 99.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 39c | 99.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…9301backed Yes | 77c | 99.28$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3887…9496backed No | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 70%170 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…1071backed Yes | 64c | 90.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…875bbacked No | 49c | 86.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 35c | 79.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 43c | 78.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 39c | 75.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…af97backed Yes | 69c | 70.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked No | 68c | 69.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa061…2c51backed No | 59c | 68.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 54c | 67.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed No | 57c | 67.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad8a…9d7bbacked No | 76c | 64.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 61c | 62.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 33c | 62.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 59c | 61.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 32c | 60.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…ac89backed Yes | 47c | 60.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 50c | 59.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5d…5b70backed Yes | 52c | 58.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 57c | 57.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 57c | 57.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…9a63backed Yes | 42c | 56.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 740 | 23.9%177 W · 563 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 43c | 56.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed Yes | 32c | 56.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked Yes | 42c | 55.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed No | 57c | 54.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 41c | 52.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 20c | 52.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 497 | 50.3%250 W · 247 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed Yes | 77c | 49.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…af41backed No | 57c | 48.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 33c | 48.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 62c | 47.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 407 | 39.3%160 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…0ef1backed Yes | 33c | 47.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eff…37cebacked Yes | 69c | 47.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 47c | 47.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…8e92backed No | 67c | 45.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe00…b480backed Yes | 40c | 45.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…3a05backed Yes | 76c | 44.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 106 | 67%71 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 67c | 44.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae71…9750backed No | 62c | 44.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5e…a8cfbacked No | 66c | 42.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked Yes | 45c | 42.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 69c | 42.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b3…cf70backed No | 57c | 41.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 58c | 41.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…4ac3backed Yes | 57c | 40.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked Yes | 52c | 40.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Yes | 35c | 40.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 402 | 42.5%171 W · 231 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb67…970abacked Yes | 73c | 40.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…f004backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…e155backed No | 69c | 39.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…5153backed Yes | 61c | 38.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 45c | 38.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…c039backed No | 70c | 38.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 182 | 42.3%77 W · 105 L | -19.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…d923backed No | 71c | 38.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…c7f7backed No | 74c | 36.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…e37abacked No | 60c | 35.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf306…2155backed Yes | 67c | 35.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced6…3f6dbacked No | 57c | 34.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 79 | 12.7%10 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Yes | 44c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 379 | 42.5%161 W · 218 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3c…1b6fbacked Yes | 43c | 33.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ef…2c9cbacked No | 59c | 32.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…d88cbacked Yes | 45c | 31.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x02ae…890cbacked Yes | 77c | 29.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 68c | 29.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9c…1450backed No | 73c | 29.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -21.9wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x01a3…2e6dbacked Yes | 41c | 28.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…9671backed Yes | 59c | 28.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 55c | 26.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…9095backed No | 54c | 26.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 173 | 76.3%132 W · 41 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed No | 43c | 26.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 67c | 26.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…245ebacked No | 60c | 25.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8063backed No | 57c | 25.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd082…b5e8backed Yes | 78c | 25.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…5c20backed No | 58c | 24.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 79°F or below on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 98°F or higher on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on April 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.