Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1aafe1e248392f623c43ebbc377b9c2334f0ff17e3e6966ae60b954955768636
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…cec9backed Yes | 1c | 1,802$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf229…d5f7backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…7318backed Yes | 38c | 493.87$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.6 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 10c | 448.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 79c | 383$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 32c | 362.79$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.03 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 26c | 317.48$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 30c | 301.72$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.84 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 20c | 290.29$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 70c | 285.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 24c | 254.88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.12 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309c…09b5backed No | 70c | 198.33$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 288 | 39.9%115 W · 173 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 24c | 177.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 20c | 176.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5d…5b70backed Yes | 25c | 171.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee1b…5571backed Yes | 27c | 145.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…f7d8backed Yes | 15c | 125.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…5a2bbacked Yes | 14c | 125.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 67c | 122.61$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…c08ebacked No | 73c | 120.18$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 570 | 38.1%217 W · 353 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 22c | 119.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 26c | 117.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 12c | 116.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 70c | 106.32$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…8dc7backed Yes | 24c | 98.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 133 | 22.6%30 W · 103 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 27c | 96.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 19c | 88.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 32c | 87.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb55c…04eabacked No | 78c | 85$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 201 | 72.6%146 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 77c | 81.71$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 26c | 80.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9003…4c59backed Yes | 20c | 79.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 29c | 78.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb938…c094backed Yes | 37c | 73.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…8f49backed Yes | 18c | 67.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…6465backed Yes | 30c | 65.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 375 | 33.6%126 W · 249 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8a…9d7bbacked No | 75c | 64.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeac…2970backed Yes | 32c | 64.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f56…a97bbacked Yes | 19c | 53.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…c1b6backed No | 72c | 52.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 216 | 76.4%165 W · 51 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 69c | 51.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…17c0backed Yes | 29c | 50.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 23c | 49.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 28c | 49.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 62c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c0…b4b9backed Yes | 27c | 46.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 241 | 9.5%23 W · 218 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 75c | 46.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe00…b480backed Yes | 31c | 44.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…e155backed Yes | 27c | 40.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…bcf1backed Yes | 31c | 39.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…0239backed Yes | 29c | 38.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb2…14d6backed No | 73c | 38.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…3a05backed No | 77c | 37.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 106 | 67%71 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…7825backed No | 71c | 37.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…c039backed Yes | 31c | 35.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 182 | 42.3%77 W · 105 L | -19.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3b…b989backed No | 69c | 35.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcf…c0f2backed Yes | 30c | 34.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 167 | 9%15 W · 152 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…d923backed Yes | 32c | 33.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…c7f7backed Yes | 33c | 33.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…e37abacked No | 72c | 33.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 68c | 29.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 73c | 27.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked No | 73c | 26.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked No | 78c | 24.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 68c | 24.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…9b00backed No | 72c | 23.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 202 | 66.8%135 W · 67 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…9095backed No | 66c | 22.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 173 | 76.3%132 W · 41 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 78c | 21.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 68c | 20.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 68c | 20.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c41…8ca1backed No | 72c | 20.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a9…2227backed No | 78c | 20.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 71 | 73.2%52 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e75…305ebacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 119 | 65.5%78 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd088…a3eabacked No | 78c | 19.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8063backed No | 76c | 19.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 65c | 18.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…14ccbacked No | 69c | 18.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 414 | 60.1%249 W · 165 L | -21.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 70c | 18.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed No | 72c | 17.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…5c20backed No | 69c | 17.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…245ebacked No | 70c | 15.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 79c | 15.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 443 | 66.1%293 W · 150 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 79°F or below on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 98°F or higher on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 17?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on April 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.