South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Mineiro vs. CA Paranaense end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd83442669657298ce833227ea97307803744e028d15bf6ed1cc2767322b0c17a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 31c | 2,938$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.81 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 2,130$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.96 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 19c | 1,408$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.84 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 19c | 661.82$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.53 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 29c | 642.34$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.28 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 20c | 366.59$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 333.49$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.83 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 29c | 330.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 298.12$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 17c | 276.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 17c | 249.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed No | 80c | 247$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…5737backed Yes | 28c | 223.07$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 135.95$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 19c | 105.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 99.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 22c | 86.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0720…89a7backed Yes | 31c | 74.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…88bdbacked Yes | 31c | 74.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 71.31$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed No | 71c | 69.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 71c | 64.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 29c | 59.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 71c | 58.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 29c | 57.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aef…9d05backed Yes | 29c | 52.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 78c | 52.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 77c | 51.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…287ebacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked No | 77c | 35.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 77c | 32.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 77c | 32.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 77c | 32.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked No | 80c | 30.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed No | 73c | 28.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked No | 77c | 26.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 74c | 21.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 74c | 20.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 74c | 20.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked No | 74c | 20.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 74c | 20.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked No | 74c | 20.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 74c | 20.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 74c | 20.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed No | 74c | 20.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 74c | 20.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 75c | 19.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 75c | 19.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 75c | 19.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked No | 74c | 19.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 69c | 19.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 71c | 15.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 103 | 65%67 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 71c | 14.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 71c | 14.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed No | 71c | 14.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed No | 71c | 14.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed No | 71c | 14.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 71c | 14.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed No | 71c | 14.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 71c | 14.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed No | 71c | 14.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked No | 72c | 14.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 72c | 14.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Mineiro vs. CA Paranaense end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-05?Yes won
- Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.