South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6669869b35268f3fcae746754c033272ffb120e551f5953378eed733fc826be6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes | 26c | 78,057$20,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,033.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 74c | 35,598$26,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,177.01 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 22,746$16,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.25 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 13c | 3,743$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.23 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed No | 73c | 2,435$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.42 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 1,982$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.73 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 7c | 1,001$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 3c | 902.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 805.11$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.9 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 77c | 636$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.28 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 368.52$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.68 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…27d5backed Yes | 4c | 353.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 331.58$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.08 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 74c | 296.79$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.74 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 74c | 287.16$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.04 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 245.95$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…d6aabacked No | 78c | 210$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d8e5backed No | 78c | 210$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed No | 78c | 185$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 74c | 179.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed No | 75c | 163.71$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 74c | 155.23$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 75c | 151.65$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 73c | 151.51$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe735…4198backed No | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…d240backed No | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 73c | 134.74$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed No | 73c | 133.54$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…5cddbacked No | 77c | 133.35$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed No | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked No | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0577…02ccbacked No | 78c | 110$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed No | 76c | 101.73$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…8aa7backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…1707backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 74c | 91.24$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 73c | 91.24$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 73c | 91.24$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8146…fe66backed Yes | 22c | 86.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed No | 77c | 83.88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +6.8wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Yes | 26c | 80.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed No | 73c | 76.97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked No | 77c | 76.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 77c | 58.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 20c | 56.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 71c | 56.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 77c | 52.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…431dbacked Yes | 22c | 51.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked No | 77c | 50.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 28c | 47.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked No | 76c | 44.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 73c | 44.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 29c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68aa…ccc8backed No | 80c | 37.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 73c | 33.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba2…f46bbacked No | 73c | 33.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 73c | 33.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked No | 79c | 24.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1f…feb5backed No | 77c | 24.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 77c | 23.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88e6…8311backed No | 74c | 21.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed No | 77c | 19.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 75c | 18.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 74c | 15.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 77c | 14.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will CA Mineiro vs. CA Paranaense end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.