Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Oman (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4c3659d545a7bcd9978dc86d94dd2388378dcc652e96628340e0ceb84460b2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Australiaof Australia, Oman
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $251,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc632…b5dfbacked Oman | 5c | 31,587$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.1 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Oman | 4c | 29,260$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.79 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Oman | 5c | 25,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Oman | 1c | 9,518$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.58 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…be65backed Oman | 2c | 9,000$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…8d4cbacked Oman | 2c | 8,585$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.67 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Oman | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 261 | 30.7%80 W · 181 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Oman | 5c | 3,197$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.27 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed Oman | 1c | 3,028$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 107 | 11.2%12 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…d02abacked Oman | 2c | 2,779$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252e…69d9backed Oman | 2c | 2,510$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Oman | 0c | 2,476$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e62…5ea6backed Oman | 4c | 2,300$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -58%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Oman | 6c | 2,000$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…227ebacked Oman | 5c | 2,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Oman | 1c | 1,977$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Oman | 6c | 1,778$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.37 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…4841backed Oman | 4c | 1,755$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.17 | 153 | 35.3%54 W · 99 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…c5ffbacked Oman | 2c | 1,680$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +129.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Oman | 4c | 1,500$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 119 | 5.9%7 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked Oman | 7c | 1,414$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.57 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9206…6fa2backed Oman | 4c | 1,351$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…2211backed Oman | 6c | 1,341$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…a9febacked Oman | 2c | 1,300$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 101 | 32.7%33 W · 68 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…69a1backed Oman | 4c | 1,250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Oman | 2c | 1,180$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Oman | 2c | 1,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…071ebacked Oman | 2c | 933.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Oman | 5c | 904.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…4c5cbacked Oman | 5c | 744.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed Oman | 4c | 591.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3350…757dbacked Oman | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Oman | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a10…9a64backed Oman | 3c | 456.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Oman | 2c | 439.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e44…edabbacked Oman | 3c | 422.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4448…f32fbacked Oman | 5c | 400.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed Oman | 5c | 384.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb67…afcabacked Oman | 8c | 372.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0d…d7e5backed Oman | 5c | 269.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Oman | 4c | 251$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d62…b803backed Oman | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a7…df67backed Oman | 8c | 203.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1acf…14f9backed Oman | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4e…6e96backed Oman | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…4adfbacked Oman | 5c | 184$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- T20 World Cup: Australia vs Oman (Game 1)this page
- T20 World Cup: Australia vs Oman (Game 1) - Completed match?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.