Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4eb7b301f668f1071ccf7f67cdbea1b097b3d79b4b471670d281f725d0939a2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $318,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $328,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 11c | 153,049$16,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,403.37 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 5c | 50,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 8c | 29,462$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,462 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 13c | 15,821$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 2c | 6,568$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.05 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5097…354bbacked No | 78c | 5,100$3,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,978 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3f…5f27backed Yes | 22c | 5,100$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,978 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed No | 14c | 3,698$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 11c | 3,625$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.67 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 7c | 2,398$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.07 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…aa68backed No | 14c | 2,387$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 8c | 2,342$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.36 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 13c | 2,033$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.31 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 6c | 573.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 8c | 380.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5585…dd3ebacked No | 5c | 377.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 7c | 268.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 9c | 241.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 9c | 223.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 11c | 222.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…cce7backed No | 8c | 192.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked No | 9c | 155.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed No | 11c | 143$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc904…1e9abacked Yes | 38c | 101.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 14c | 76.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-27?this page
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2025-12-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.