TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-02-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,969
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,954

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,969 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No65c8,504$5,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,527.475549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No65c7,500$4,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,849.981145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No65c5,419$3,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,504.0169851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Yes36c5,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,199.992356.5%13 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No6c4,927$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.63534.3%12 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c4,841$2,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,204.333,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Yes35c3,212$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,087.814650%23 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes35c2,957$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.049854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes66c2,801$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.052,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No65c2,292$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,483.2262452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No6c1,957$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.675455.6%30 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+50.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes36c1,400$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8967639.5%30 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes36c1,389$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.892937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes35c1,360$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.0175142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes32c1,177$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.157032.9%23 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No64c1,169$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.9135856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No65c1,100$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71556547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Yes35c1,012$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.46043.3%26 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64024050.4%121 W · 119 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6505425.9%14 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No64c944.27$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.3363645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No64c834$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.7630054%162 W · 138 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No65c650$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.55959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes34c584.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.292339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c5…f6d4backed Yes35c571.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.431735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes31c557.11$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.8317652.3%92 W · 84 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9346…ea03backed Yes36c536.11$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.115246.2%24 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16d8…ba9ebacked Yes69c533.33$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32038055.8%212 W · 168 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No10c461.1$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6730647.1%144 W · 162 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa0b3…6bfcbacked No66c450$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-48.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f4e…19e9backed Yes36c314.33$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.173426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-30.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed No16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4815829.1%46 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9970…1651backed Yes35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.71560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+38.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.788532.9%28 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes33c269.9$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.94753.2%25 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+27.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes35c268.08$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.2533244.6%148 W · 184 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe579…ba5ebacked Yes68c250$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.082483.3%20 W · 4 L+5.1wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+33.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed No12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked No70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Yes36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1283351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6039…9496backed No65c190$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8612538.4%48 W · 77 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes35c142.85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8537344.5%166 W · 207 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f7b…20bbbacked Yes36c141.67$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.67450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9107…87e0backed Yes36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f6…4892backed Yes29c137.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.936645.5%30 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0de6…2393backed Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.58450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes36c115$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.733945.7%155 W · 184 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Yes68c105$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.95364.2%34 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes21c104.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.768517.6%15 W · 70 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23de…05c1backed Yes36c103.33$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.131931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c30…0ac6backed No15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d49…5ecebacked No25c99.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.41947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+51.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0163…9aa0backed No64c93.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.155156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Yes35c78.8$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.221833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb653…f400backed Yes36c77.78$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.782050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes35c75.2$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8856951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f14…c845backed No34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-40.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No67c66.68$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4714934.9%52 W · 97 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes35c63.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.047152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No23c62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5422332.3%72 W · 151 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes75c61.44$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4624541.6%102 W · 143 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes73c61.17$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.681,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ac…d145backed Yes36c60.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.832100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+145.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes23c58$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6628241.5%117 W · 165 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23f1…d04cbacked Yes36c56.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes35c56.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5616045%72 W · 88 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x157a…e4a3backed Yes36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.567958.2%46 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc09…21d0backed Yes36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.562934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No64c55.54$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.555865.5%38 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee0…1006backed Yes36c55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c3b…6583backed No67c53.73$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365563.6%35 W · 20 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed Yes28c53.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.575215.4%8 W · 44 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-48.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358636%31 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344639.1%18 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes35c49.05$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.841,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes58c48.5$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1522669%156 W · 70 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes73c44.06$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0481732.8%268 W · 549 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed No32c43.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.16936.2%25 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46cb…08debacked Yes35c42.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.861050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ca…54f0backed No63c40.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.222231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed No31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.44734%16 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No64c39.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.119446.4%90 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No45c34.64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7478248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed6a…841ebacked Yes36c34.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+60.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85a8…5468backed No65c33.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd64c…92c7backed Yes36c33.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No64c32.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7211354.9%62 W · 51 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb6b…70fdbacked Yes36c30.78$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.74454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed No65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204468.2%30 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3df…16d6backed No67c30.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.43666.7%24 W · 12 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf484…bf13backed No66c30.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9520%1 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.51per pick71cpaid-70.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xca32…d1f0backed No66c28.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes41c28.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.88850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+106.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f88…293bbacked Yes36c28.11$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No37c28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.489742.3%41 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No69c27.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3448658.6%285 W · 201 L+44.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked No65c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.159564.2%61 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.