Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82148c6e40a8c19a81633945e47752288c6d68c2604afe137e8fa67b4054d922
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 65c | 8,504$5,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,527.47 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed No | 65c | 7,500$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,849.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 65c | 5,419$3,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,504.01 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.99 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 6c | 4,927$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.6 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 4,841$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.33 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Yes | 35c | 3,212$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.81 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 35c | 2,957$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.04 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 66c | 2,801$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.05 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 2,292$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.22 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 6c | 1,957$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.67 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 36c | 1,400$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.89 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 35c | 1,360$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.01 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 32c | 1,177$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.15 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 64c | 1,169$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.91 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 65c | 1,100$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 35c | 1,012$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.4 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 64c | 944.27$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.33 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 64c | 834$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.76 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 65c | 650$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.5 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 34c | 584.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.29 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…f6d4backed Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 31c | 557.11$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.83 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…ea03backed Yes | 36c | 536.11$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.11 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked Yes | 69c | 533.33$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 10c | 461.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b3…6bfcbacked No | 66c | 450$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…19e9backed Yes | 36c | 314.33$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.17 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9970…1651backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 33c | 269.9$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.9 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 35c | 268.08$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.25 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked Yes | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6039…9496backed No | 65c | 190$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 35c | 142.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.85 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7b…20bbbacked Yes | 36c | 141.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9107…87e0backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0de6…2393backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 36c | 115$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.7 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 68c | 105$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 21c | 104.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.76 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 36c | 103.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.13 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked No | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…9aa0backed No | 64c | 93.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Yes | 35c | 78.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…f400backed Yes | 36c | 77.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 35c | 75.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed No | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 67c | 66.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 35c | 63.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 23c | 62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 75c | 61.44$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 73c | 61.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ac…d145backed Yes | 36c | 60.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 23c | 58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23f1…d04cbacked Yes | 36c | 56.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 35c | 56.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc09…21d0backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 64c | 55.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…1006backed Yes | 36c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 67c | 53.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 35c | 49.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 58c | 48.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 73c | 44.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 32c | 43.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46cb…08debacked Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed No | 63c | 40.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 64c | 39.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 45c | 34.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed6a…841ebacked Yes | 36c | 34.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85a8…5468backed No | 65c | 33.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd64c…92c7backed Yes | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 64c | 32.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…70fdbacked Yes | 36c | 30.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed No | 67c | 30.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf484…bf13backed No | 66c | 30.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.51per pick | 71cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca32…d1f0backed No | 66c | 28.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 41c | 28.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f88…293bbacked Yes | 36c | 28.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 69c | 27.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-02-22?this page
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?No won
- Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-02-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.