Serie A · resolved market
Cagliari Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f157981310611860cd2b6f794b95be10724aa740fa8bfc843794be1e843a4dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 35,815$16,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,415.03 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Over | 62c | 25,884$16,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,039.41 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…fd6bbacked Under | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 62c | 8,480$5,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,229.18 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 38c | 6,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.98 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 3,935$2,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.96 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 63c | 2,195$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.85 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 50c | 1,780$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 18c | 1,700$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 64c | 1,689$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.09 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 29c | 1,249$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.88 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over | 52c | 1,155$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 38c | 1,102$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.22 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 61c | 848.03$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.01 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 62c | 708.66$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.72 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b2…fda3backed Over | 62c | 629.03$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 40c | 624.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over | 38c | 606.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.88 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 34c | 588.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 501.63$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.44 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 38c | 459.74$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.34 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…e1b2backed Over | 51c | 450$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 62c | 431$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.99 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 422.89$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.13 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8f…70eabacked Over | 5c | 405$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 7cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 38c | 396.87$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.94 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…9e1abacked Over | 5c | 348$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Over | 65c | 340$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 47c | 340$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.06 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 34c | 326.47$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 37c | 305.62$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.08 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed Over | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Over | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 34c | 279.41$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 46c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Under | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 42c | 176.19$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 37c | 174$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 55c | 163.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.36 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa319…bbfbbacked Over | 62c | 160.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 32c | 157.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 41c | 150.66$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.56 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 34c | 141.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 38c | 139.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.05 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 38c | 131.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.57 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d4…651cbacked Over | 11c | 131.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 34c | 123.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…4fd7backed Over | 64c | 123.44$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 63c | 108.04$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 105.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 67c | 74.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 47c | 73.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 38c | 51.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -10.6wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 51c | 49.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Under | 65c | 47.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b2…9603backed Over | 34c | 43.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Over | 25c | 41.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…1879backed Over | 62c | 39.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Over | 34c | 38.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…529ebacked Over | 34c | 38.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 62c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Under | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf42b…4747backed Under | 62c | 29.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 43c | 29.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 181 | 25.4%46 W · 135 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 68c | 29.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Over | 52c | 28.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 55c | 27.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 49c | 24.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd1…8deebacked Over | 47c | 21.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cagliari Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5this page
- Cagliari Calcio vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.