Ligue 1 · resolved market
Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e8a712116450b2359a034f592fcd48b35a67730b793770918b1345f08899094
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 4,614$2,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.83 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.83 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 45c | 1,388$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.6 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 55c | 454$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.3 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 48c | 417.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 44c | 284.48$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.82 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Under | 56c | 257.14$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.14 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 175.62$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 55c | 166.67$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 26c | 151.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 61c | 144.95$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 105.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 54c | 92.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 55c | 90.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 40c | 86.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 66c | 74.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 56c | 59.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Under | 56c | 58.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 42c | 52.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 56c | 50.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9468…dc7dbacked Under | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 45c | 33.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Over | 45c | 30.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 44c | 29.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 54c | 25.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 60c | 22.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…3d3fbacked Under | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Under | 59c | 16.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5this page
- Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.