TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Sao Leopoldo: Murkel Dellien vs Johan Nikles

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Murkel Dellienof Murkel Dellien, Johan Nikles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,469
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,044

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,469 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x387b…fd56backed Johan Nikles0c18,820$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-62.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Johan Nikles37c2,178$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.6530847.7%147 W · 161 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Johan Nikles26c1,899$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.143,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Murkel Dellien62c1,138$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.591,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Johan Nikles28c988.92$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.122,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Johan Nikles37c922.61$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.0725134.3%86 W · 165 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Murkel Dellien74c847.98$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.847,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Murkel Dellien67c728.5$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.313647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Johan Nikles16c692.52$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.94,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Johan Nikles51c673.48$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.633256%186 W · 146 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Johan Nikles32c620.8$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.594,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Johan Nikles37c582.38$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.481,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Murkel Dellien72c549.23$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.348,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Murkel Dellien68c481.03$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.0811659.5%69 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Murkel Dellien61c449.6$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.846,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Johan Nikles37c449.36$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.451,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Murkel Dellien63c433.04$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.299056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Murkel Dellien63c410$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.687,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Murkel Dellien79c375.55$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.272,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Johan Nikles33c339.7$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.841,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Murkel Dellien75c308.4$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.889,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Murkel Dellien51c305.18$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.312,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Johan Nikles42c288.34$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.419040%36 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Johan Nikles28c285.7$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.266,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Johan Nikles36c278.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.398261%50 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Johan Nikles36c267.61$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1657349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Murkel Dellien67c223.53$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0425756%144 W · 113 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba77…da86backed Murkel Dellien67c216.22$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.151070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c5…787cbacked Murkel Dellien45c207.52$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.944938.8%19 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x79c0…5baabacked Murkel Dellien68c206.6$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.111070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Murkel Dellien63c200.1$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.661,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Murkel Dellien62c195.44$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2797141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Johan Nikles43c190.87$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.888,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Johan Nikles35c166.36$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6450644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Murkel Dellien62c161$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1833055.8%184 W · 146 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Murkel Dellien47c160.54$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Johan Nikles61c160.1$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6630555.4%169 W · 136 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Johan Nikles61c160.1$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6639955.4%221 W · 178 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Murkel Dellien68c159.87$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1615748.4%76 W · 81 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Murkel Dellien64c154.08$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.471,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c8…68d7backed Johan Nikles32c149.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9615742%66 W · 91 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Murkel Dellien62c146.58$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.71,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked Murkel Dellien67c146.28$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2716447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Johan Nikles61c143.87$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7685348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Murkel Dellien70c140.29$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0933149.2%163 W · 168 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Johan Nikles60c124.65$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3650156.1%281 W · 220 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4652…6863backed Murkel Dellien66c118.81$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.454163.4%26 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7190…00e7backed Johan Nikles26c114.21$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.14110%0 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Johan Nikles33c109.95$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.281,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5b…7216backed Johan Nikles55c107.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6914770.7%104 W · 43 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a12…d3febacked Johan Nikles39c103.51$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.869247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Johan Nikles32c99.68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0932450.9%165 W · 159 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Murkel Dellien62c98.86$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5733364.9%216 W · 117 L-19.4wins-0.06per pick71cpaid-9.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Murkel Dellien45c96.7$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1951539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Murkel Dellien63c93.12$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4646848.5%227 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Murkel Dellien72c75.86$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.14465.9%29 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Murkel Dellien65c75.31$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.361,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed Murkel Dellien66c74.21$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.238068.8%55 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Murkel Dellien65c70.7$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.741,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Johan Nikles60c68.71$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.237057.1%40 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Murkel Dellien67c64.79$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3817655.1%97 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Murkel Dellien64c63.83$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.737,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Johan Nikles19c62.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0611325.7%29 W · 84 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Murkel Dellien67c60.36$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.922,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Johan Nikles35c59.04$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6681255.3%449 W · 363 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ca7…e965backed Murkel Dellien67c57.83$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.082147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Johan Nikles35c57.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0229958.5%175 W · 124 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Johan Nikles31c56.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.23,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Murkel Dellien62c55.76$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1977047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Johan Nikles37c51.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3426244.7%117 W · 145 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Murkel Dellien62c50.61$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.232,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86c1…ea70backed Murkel Dellien63c48.89$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Murkel Dellien62c48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2422847.4%108 W · 120 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7133…69d6backed Johan Nikles22c47.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.494637%17 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-31.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaef4…e208backed Murkel Dellien68c43.37$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.95757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Murkel Dellien66c40.37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7347252.1%246 W · 226 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Johan Nikles61c40.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4233557%191 W · 144 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Murkel Dellien63c39.11$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4747453.2%252 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…d2b5backed Murkel Dellien65c38.11$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1841668%283 W · 133 L+23.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7375…d8d4backed Murkel Dellien70c37.18$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.155244.2%23 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2098…0c0bbacked Murkel Dellien67c36.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.349062.2%56 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Murkel Dellien54c35.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.482,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Johan Nikles35c34.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.111,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Murkel Dellien69c32.11$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.951,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Murkel Dellien63c31.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.492,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Murkel Dellien72c31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6957953.7%311 W · 268 L+19.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Murkel Dellien67c30.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0325366.8%169 W · 84 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Murkel Dellien71c30.02$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7773549.8%366 W · 369 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd05…61d6backed Johan Nikles38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.252951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Johan Nikles59c29.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3189134.3%306 W · 585 L-40.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Murkel Dellien68c29.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4258453.1%310 W · 274 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Murkel Dellien68c28.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2371165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x907d…2c9bbacked Murkel Dellien66c25.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7417761%108 W · 69 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Murkel Dellien62c24.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.521,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee05…d6ccbacked Murkel Dellien60c23.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.292152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Murkel Dellien64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.293557.3%536 W · 399 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa870…df70backed Murkel Dellien73c16.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.374858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Murkel Dellien67c15.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1181457%464 W · 350 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Murkel Dellien74c14.77$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8488273.5%648 W · 234 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.