Tennis · resolved market
European Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Eliot Spizzirri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24b853d7e2df2d7705083ee86398edd848c5e96a28f1348d73dc445cb0559aaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spizzirriof Zandschulp, Spizzirri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Zandschulp | 64c | 8,000$5,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,120 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Spizzirri | 37c | 5,541$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480.18 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…5683backed Spizzirri | 39c | 4,999$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.39 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spizzirri | 49c | 2,025$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.67 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Zandschulp | 14c | 1,999$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.76 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Zandschulp | 63c | 1,719$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.92 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Zandschulp | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Spizzirri | 35c | 1,449$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spizzirri | 46c | 693.98$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.44 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Spizzirri | 36c | 390$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Spizzirri | 36c | 363.75$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.65 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Spizzirri | 37c | 325.31$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.31 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Zandschulp | 59c | 270.34$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.46 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Zandschulp | 62c | 263$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.06 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Zandschulp | 59c | 257.81$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Spizzirri | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Zandschulp | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Zandschulp | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Zandschulp | 52c | 152.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Zandschulp | 53c | 126.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Zandschulp | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Spizzirri | 36c | 104.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Spizzirri | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Zandschulp | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Zandschulp | 63c | 95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Zandschulp | 32c | 93.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Spizzirri | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef4…a034backed Zandschulp | 65c | 77.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Zandschulp | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Spizzirri | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed Spizzirri | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Spizzirri | 42c | 42.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Spizzirri | 34c | 31.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…be63backed Zandschulp | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Zandschulp | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…8849backed Zandschulp | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…7f8bbacked Zandschulp | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.