TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle win on 2025-09-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$283,970
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$307,248

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,970 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2635…5408backed No29c203,336$58,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,967.432626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.3wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-49.8%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes71c60,000$42,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,40028355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes71c54,623$38,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,840.741,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes71c36,101$25,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,552.626,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes71c35,000$24,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,1503050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd16a…7691backed Yes71c20,000$14,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,8001866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+42.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No31c8,152$2,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50610236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes69c4,745$3,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47130851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed No27c4,070$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.452227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-58.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes70c4,000$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.3410848.1%52 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No27c3,410$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.214,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No21c2,809$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.1851542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No29c2,800$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.9917833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes72c2,703$1,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.8130666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No9c2,617$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.325329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes70c2,546$1,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.649254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed No29c2,500$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7253834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No31c2,034$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.4368026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No18c1,650$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.0179639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes71c1,488$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4315944.1%26 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc470…1eecbacked No6c1,131$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.881127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No7c1,040$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3328736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes73c1,000$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.387139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes67c999.98$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.992050%10 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed No31c974.93$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.231643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No30c803$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.924846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes69c799.19$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.1930050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes69c665.81$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.45232.7%17 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x761a…d9babacked Yes70c646.03$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.972259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No32c629.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes71c606$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.7727235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No31c527.19$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.432540%10 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No33c448.21$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.714551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No30c400.47$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1729427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No24c342.68$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5856453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes68c323$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3625836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Yes69c321.74$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.744557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89d1…6448backed Yes68c311.99$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.392740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8721839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70d2…f395backed Yes67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.692564%16 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked No33c276.02$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.092441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Yes71c260$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.42343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x34cf…7188backed No31c258$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.982520%5 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-43%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No7c200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.561441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked No21c199.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4311227.7%31 W · 81 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aa4…17c0backed No32c198.48$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.516963.8%44 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes70c185.71$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7112753.5%68 W · 59 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2059…bfc9backed No31c182.25$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.51050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x101c…4392backed No30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc48d…8a40backed Yes70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.53363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0da1…d3bebacked Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.251643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0635247.7%168 W · 184 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes69c144.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8942755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8629653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8511353.1%60 W · 53 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a09…cdffbacked Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-43.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.857231.9%23 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Yes72c120$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.61546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4db0…e467backed Yes71c112.68$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.681741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb042…998ebacked No30c107.82$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.351338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes70c106$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.836845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes69c105$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.615037.3%56 W · 94 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220819.2%40 W · 168 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2927752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a50…ff53backed Yes69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314240.5%17 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5167…dc43backed Yes69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Yes71c98.59$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5913944.6%62 W · 77 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Yes71c89.79$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.047100%7 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed No14c78.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1132737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf303…355ebacked Yes69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.46475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+35.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc84f…d798backed Yes69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.461526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Yes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4219460.3%117 W · 77 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes68c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.425532.9%84 W · 171 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes69c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.724062.5%150 W · 90 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked Yes69c50.72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7220059.5%119 W · 81 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f4…5781backed Yes72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142850%14 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb78d…1d48backed Yes70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4823350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x60e3…08a6backed Yes70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.863441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eff…8490backed Yes73c40.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.981030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-52.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.47746.8%36 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Yes70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1212357.7%71 W · 52 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b91…27dcbacked Yes71c30.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.997751.9%40 W · 37 L-7.3wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x53e8…bf07backed Yes68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.413050%15 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8433…6b61backed Yes69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x963a…fc4cbacked Yes70c28.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.592751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c50…8532backed Yes70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd612…0bc1backed Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1717254.1%93 W · 79 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc487…dc86backed Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.173948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.174456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52df…9adfbacked Yes69c26.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.11475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+109.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2fa…4d49backed Yes69c24.94$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.736350.8%32 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1181…509abacked Yes69c24.57$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.571250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb296…6d6abacked Yes69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.74666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ae…8533backed Yes71c21.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.12666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43bf…eababacked Yes68c20.91$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d3…c894backed Yes70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13e4…4de0backed Yes68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.