TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will OGC Nice win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$144,931
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,893

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,931 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa136…97debacked Yes76c24,364$18,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,516.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes75c20,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0008944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a1…b6babacked Yes75c14,659$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,000650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No27c14,593$3,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,659.8329637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No24c12,051$2,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,159.02944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+61.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No25c10,838$2,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,142.772759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+43%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No69c7,768$5,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,382.641,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked No24c7,747$1,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,887.37540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+40.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No26c6,204$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,612.5152550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No24c5,356$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,066.3387344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes76c4,049$3,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,076.9324349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2fb…b9f0backed Yes75c4,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No58c3,523$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.191747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No38c3,459$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,145.6922745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No25c3,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,26012738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked No25c2,960$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2202147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes61c2,852$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes10c2,295$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.835846.6%27 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked No27c2,066$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+75.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No24c2,049$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.216443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes8c2,000$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.432050%10 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+51.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes10c1,848$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.81844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No35c1,777$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.891,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes58c1,679$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.91346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes72c1,389$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No26c1,327$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.8418351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No24c1,236$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.6528448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked Yes51c1,197$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No24c1,079$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.8230448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No25c1,049$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.912647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No25c1,040$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.3327049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No25c1,040$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.3933148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Yes75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7502445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No25c800$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59612957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x44c8…a9ffbacked No30c754.87$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.412100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+245.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes70c754.87$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.411850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b1…7e9abacked No38c657.89$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d33…4af5backed No38c622.92$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes43c600$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2585747.4%27 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc190…02aebacked Yes76c600$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4563655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No45c585.08$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.9233145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No77c585$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1367060%42 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes72c553.54$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…ad0fbacked Yes11c532.59$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes23c524.02$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.295829.3%17 W · 41 L-8.8wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-54.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4c22…0c2cbacked No39c518.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.41540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No25c479$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.9927748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes76c456$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.568254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes74c451.61$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.1914346.9%67 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes61c450.13$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.0818046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x358c…7042backed No24c412.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+371.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No25c408.57$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.437946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes74c405.41$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes66c400$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2625046%23 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes77c389.61$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008060%48 W · 32 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes26c382.71$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.593354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x650a…0f82backed Yes76c381.58$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd20b…3a20backed Yes52c378.92$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.04728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-53%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed No35c373.87$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.87520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-43.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503721.6%8 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed No26c348$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.521747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf887…db68backed Yes46c320$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Yes64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No25c300$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22526354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes73c278.49$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.34045%18 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf3a…7cccbacked Yes76c268.82$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b33…044ebacked Yes57c261.58$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f42…0524backed Yes77c259.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed No39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.411250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Yes59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes74c243.24$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No28c240$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.813844.2%61 W · 77 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50a2…5152backed Yes52c230.77$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c3f…32b2backed Yes50c220.18$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No64c219.41$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5148649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes74c207.41$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.4820150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Yes63c180$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.42347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x967b…46babacked Yes56c170$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.65560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1806…5234backed Yes41c166.77$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No26c164.36$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0710145.5%46 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No29c160$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.611861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+67.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes71c158.61$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6135157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No25c151.5$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.6338056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No25c146$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.546450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc115…9138backed Yes69c143.97$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.34475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+164.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6081…f0f2backed Yes66c143.94$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x050e…d92fbacked Yes75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes76c133.05$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.125251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5839…3fa8backed No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No25c122.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.438150.6%41 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No55c121.72$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.383847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes70c120$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849355.9%52 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37ec…3b7bbacked Yes43c117$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed Yes72c115.92$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No23c114$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7810643.4%46 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes29c107.4$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6810938.5%42 W · 67 L-11.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10fd…633bbacked Yes75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737051.4%36 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked No35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6512039.2%47 W · 73 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.