Tennis · resolved market
Fritz vs. Bergs: Match O/U 22.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4b758f84d9c2acd555dfe98b2ce9b817ef3935a955688254545d290f5d5baa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Over | 41c | 1,500$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Over | 50c | 1,394$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 58c | 538$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.57 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Under | 58c | 483.02$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.87 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +13.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 49c | 383.48$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.71 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 47c | 320.88$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.71 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Under | 54c | 276.3$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.3 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 70c | 270.93$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.28 | 318 | 42.5%135 W · 183 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 51c | 245$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c103backed Over | 51c | 235.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Under | 75c | 219.16$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 546 | 34.4%188 W · 358 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 49c | 205.88$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 70c | 172.58$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 167.13$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.53 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 46c | 136.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 58c | 116.52$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 66c | 109.12$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 47c | 106.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b3eabacked Over | 48c | 104.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ae…d117backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6e…1256backed Over | 53c | 98.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Under | 42c | 78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 77.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 58c | 70.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Under | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d0…32a5backed Over | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 48c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 47c | 57.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 37c | 52.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 43c | 51.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Under | 45c | 50.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 42c | 50.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Under | 45c | 45.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 58c | 44.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 48c | 41.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 58c | 30.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 46c | 28.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305b…cd21backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 550 | 59.1%325 W · 225 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 51c | 26.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 48c | 25.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Under | 50c | 25.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 49c | 24.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…7ab4backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…7b12backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…93d1backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 106 | 78.3%83 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fritz vs. Bergs: Match O/U 22.5this page
- Fritz vs. Bergs: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Zizou BergsTaylor Fritz won
- Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs BergsFritz won
- Set Handicap: Bergs (-1.5) vs Fritz (+1.5)Fritz won
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Bergs (+1.5)Fritz won
- Taylor Fritz vs. Zizou Bergs: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.