Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Bergs (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4806e3cd890aab12a65630a03853bf5f961138f8928afdf431ecf067cfb14c98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fritzof Fritz, Bergs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef26…05babacked Bergs | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.96 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Fritz | 71c | 3,666$2,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.2 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Bergs | 25c | 1,300$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Bergs | 42c | 1,153$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.37 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca70…3bafbacked Fritz | 58c | 976.57$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Fritz | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Fritz | 68c | 860.29$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.52 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Fritz | 58c | 807.88$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.5 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Fritz | 62c | 803.79$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.79 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Fritz | 60c | 764.18$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.37 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bergs | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Fritz | 68c | 683.79$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.79 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Bergs | 29c | 677.56$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.49 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Bergs | 51c | 645.11$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 302 | 51.3%155 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Bergs | 43c | 616.57$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.52 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…43aabacked Fritz | 57c | 599.97$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Fritz | 57c | 557.24$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.61 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Fritz | 57c | 527.64$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.86 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Fritz | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 345 | 55.1%190 W · 155 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca4…348fbacked Fritz | 76c | 483.23$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.98 | 294 | 43.5%128 W · 166 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Bergs | 40c | 482.03$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.14 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Bergs | 42c | 431.31$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.15 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bergs | 42c | 400.93$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.39 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Fritz | 58c | 378.34$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.9 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Fritz | 58c | 345.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.53 | 271 | 51.3%139 W · 132 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Fritz | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Bergs | 44c | 323$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.18 | 332 | 35.2%117 W · 215 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Bergs | 41c | 312.58$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.39 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Fritz | 53c | 287.96$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.34 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fritz | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Bergs | 43c | 232$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Bergs | 45c | 219.82$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…0d3bbacked Fritz | 57c | 209.63$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bergs | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Fritz | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 256 | 33.6%86 W · 170 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Fritz | 58c | 178.9$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.14 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Bergs | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Fritz | 60c | 167$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.54 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…0fe0backed Bergs | 29c | 167$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Fritz | 57c | 132.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Bergs | 43c | 126.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ae…d117backed Bergs | 43c | 115.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Bergs | 28c | 106.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Fritz | 75c | 103$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Bergs | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Bergs | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Fritz | 65c | 92.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Fritz | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Fritz | 59c | 83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Fritz | 35c | 82.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Bergs | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Bergs | 47c | 76.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Bergs | 42c | 74.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Fritz | 53c | 62.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Bergs | 42c | 60.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Bergs | 43c | 53.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Bergs | 47c | 51.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Bergs | 43c | 51.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Fritz | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Bergs | 42c | 49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Bergs | 42c | 43.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e48…e8e6backed Bergs | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Fritz | 58c | 37.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 252 | 40.5%102 W · 150 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Fritz | 58c | 37.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a9…96ecbacked Fritz | 53c | 37.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d8…ab98backed Fritz | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Bergs | 43c | 28.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Fritz | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Fritz | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 348 | 51.1%178 W · 170 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Fritz | 53c | 24.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Bergs | 44c | 23.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…8b42backed Fritz | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Bergs (+1.5)this page
- Fritz vs. Bergs: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Fritz vs. Bergs: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Zizou BergsTaylor Fritz won
- Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs BergsFritz won
- Set Handicap: Bergs (-1.5) vs Fritz (+1.5)Fritz won
- Taylor Fritz vs. Zizou Bergs: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.