Tennis · resolved market
Fritz vs. Bergs: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ed1efcf22b10eaabea09e17f0f3bd103eaf7a2745293a407dd3638e5be1c779
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Over | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69c…6797backed Under | 44c | 1,739$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a22…7b00backed Over | 56c | 1,639$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 45c | 952.89$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.73 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…23ffbacked Over | 56c | 895.77$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.63 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Under | 49c | 630.81$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.71 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 49c | 520.2$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.9 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Over | 56c | 449.03$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.46 | 494 | 47.2%233 W · 261 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 57c | 392.29$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.72 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Under | 44c | 346.91$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Under | 49c | 338.78$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.78 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2914…aff6backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 54c | 105.04$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 46c | 100.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 508 | 45.9%233 W · 275 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 45c | 79.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 45c | 76.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Under | 45c | 63.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Over | 47c | 57.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Over | 48c | 55.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 47c | 53.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 52c | 51.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 55c | 51.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked Over | 55c | 44.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 41c | 43.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95f…adfdbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Over | 56c | 31.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Over | 55c | 26.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Over | 54c | 26.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 45c | 25.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fritz vs. Bergs: Match O/U 21.5this page
- Fritz vs. Bergs: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Zizou BergsTaylor Fritz won
- Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs BergsFritz won
- Set Handicap: Bergs (-1.5) vs Fritz (+1.5)Fritz won
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Bergs (+1.5)Fritz won
- Taylor Fritz vs. Zizou Bergs: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.