TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Paris: Sara Bejlek vs Alina Charaeva

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alina Charaevaof Sara Bejlek, Alina Charaeva
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$150,948
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,426

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,948 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Sara Bejlek42c13,438$5,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,673.937,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Alina Charaeva52c11,403$5,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,436.726,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Alina Charaeva76c3,272$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.6362061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sara Bejlek46c2,734$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.5811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Sara Bejlek29c2,016$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.224,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Alina Charaeva32c1,719$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.751,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Sara Bejlek2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017338.7%67 W · 106 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+77.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Sara Bejlek44c1,458$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.962,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Alina Charaeva33c1,457$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.462,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Alina Charaeva32c1,407$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.561,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Alina Charaeva56c1,392$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.6680341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ced…9753backed Alina Charaeva33c1,368$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.193834.2%13 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Alina Charaeva44c1,151$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.9980938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Alina Charaeva55c1,119$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.0393740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Sara Bejlek39c1,044$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.4936244.8%162 W · 200 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Sara Bejlek49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.81,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed Sara Bejlek55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.993056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Sara Bejlek66c946.3$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.563,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Alina Charaeva48c796.62$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.384,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Alina Charaeva32c752.59$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.761,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Alina Charaeva73c684$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.681,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Alina Charaeva69c553.64$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.614,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Sara Bejlek42c524.16$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.157447.7%274 W · 300 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Sara Bejlek68c500$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3412,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Sara Bejlek50c381.66$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.9254746.8%256 W · 291 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Alina Charaeva53c326.5$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.0784640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Sara Bejlek33c299.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.517436.8%64 W · 110 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Alina Charaeva34c294$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.041,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9283…ba85backed Sara Bejlek60c283.36$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1707338.4%28 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Sara Bejlek41c283$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1592145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Alina Charaeva33c273.76$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.4227733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Alina Charaeva50c240.03$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.994,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Alina Charaeva32c235.33$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.0630436.2%110 W · 194 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Sara Bejlek28c214.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6045957.5%264 W · 195 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked Sara Bejlek49c200.72$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3525763.4%163 W · 94 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Alina Charaeva38c199.97$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.986,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Alina Charaeva45c189.89$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.4425245.2%114 W · 138 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Sara Bejlek37c156$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.721,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1231…1c15backed Alina Charaeva75c146.67$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.672147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc33e…b4b6backed Alina Charaeva31c136.75$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.0218545.4%84 W · 101 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Sara Bejlek58c130.39$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6324229.8%72 W · 170 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Sara Bejlek23c126.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2685624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Sara Bejlek67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Sara Bejlek67c99.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9956062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Alina Charaeva34c99.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.991,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec45…6c6dbacked Sara Bejlek61c99.98$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.995669.6%39 W · 17 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Sara Bejlek64c97.59$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.731,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f53…467bbacked Alina Charaeva53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.34475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+122.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b73…38a8backed Sara Bejlek53c93.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.529247.8%44 W · 48 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Alina Charaeva48c85.17$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0374346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Sara Bejlek69c84.78$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.522255.4%123 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Sara Bejlek59c80$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.243067%288 W · 142 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Sara Bejlek67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5088560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Sara Bejlek15c69.12$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.373,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Sara Bejlek34c66.89$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5868857.3%394 W · 294 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc274…86debacked Sara Bejlek30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2049342.8%211 W · 282 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Alina Charaeva33c62.48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.867244.4%32 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Sara Bejlek66c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.63,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Sara Bejlek44c57.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.76,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Alina Charaeva31c57.62$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.517,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Sara Bejlek51c57.16$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8983047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed Sara Bejlek44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2533655.1%185 W · 151 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Alina Charaeva33c56.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6413051.5%67 W · 63 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x445b…cc32backed Sara Bejlek54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Alina Charaeva55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.551,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4e4…4a19backed Alina Charaeva70c53.57$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.911376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Alina Charaeva48c49.07$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.582,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a37…4daebacked Sara Bejlek67c44.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013451.5%69 W · 65 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Sara Bejlek26c44.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.718,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Sara Bejlek57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Sara Bejlek36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.458438.2%223 W · 361 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Sara Bejlek48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3337156.3%209 W · 162 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c35…3f6dbacked Sara Bejlek30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.82729.6%8 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5151…fba8backed Alina Charaeva64c39.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1138074.5%283 W · 97 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Sara Bejlek41c35.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.449527.4%26 W · 69 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Sara Bejlek57c32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2446848.5%227 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Sara Bejlek35c31.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9522035.9%79 W · 141 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Alina Charaeva65c30.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.654,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Alina Charaeva71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.635187.7%308 W · 43 L+66.4wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+29.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x623a…5144backed Sara Bejlek68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Sara Bejlek48c27.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9816258.6%95 W · 67 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Sara Bejlek49c26.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8320857.2%119 W · 89 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c6a…cbfbbacked Alina Charaeva46c25.63$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.848447.6%40 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd13c…98a7backed Alina Charaeva49c25.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0117242.4%73 W · 99 L-17.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Sara Bejlek70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1454050.4%272 W · 268 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Alina Charaeva57c18.06$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.769,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccc4…77cabacked Alina Charaeva57c17.66$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.645658.9%33 W · 23 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed Alina Charaeva76c13.21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.1716856%94 W · 74 L-0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.