TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,585
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,808

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,585 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Over46c18,363$8,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,492.2511,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd9d…b730backed Under52c12,691$6,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,054.732766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under52c10,200$5,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.315651.3%80 W · 76 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Under70c4,989$3,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.31,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over60c4,910$2,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,966.1210,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under39c4,198$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,560.51,87452%975 W · 899 L+51.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c3,532$1,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.9812,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16e5…6373backed Under59c3,402$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.028658.1%50 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over31c2,480$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.268,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over32c1,541$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.198,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under57c1,489$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.052,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under66c1,190$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.688,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over48c1,086$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.412,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Over48c1,066$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.8621550.2%108 W · 107 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over49c1,030$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.791,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over48c1,030$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.31,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over48c724.38$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.73,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over46c483.18$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.056,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over48c409.6$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.619045.6%41 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over48c330.51$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.061,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked Under52c312.5$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under39c299$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.394,08757.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L+66.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c35…3f6dbacked Over14c291$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.282931%9 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-44%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over49c262.94$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.584,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over46c262.9$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.181,14948.9%562 W · 587 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc454…8c31backed Under24c218.5$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.06333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf51e…e386backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.319745.4%44 W · 53 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8079943.2%345 W · 454 L-2.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x565a…3207backed Under36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.891346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+26.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over42c136.87$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2294648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under37c136$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.084,40544.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L+80.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over66c132.57$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.332,54645.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L-74.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Under24c125$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9529331.7%93 W · 200 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under40c123.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.058943.8%39 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over56c119.9$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.755,14954.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L+231.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb0…20b4backed Over30c118.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.36946.4%32 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over75c118$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.52,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over48c104$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9221353.5%114 W · 99 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Over42c102.38$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Over31c100.48$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6518547.6%88 W · 97 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed Over31c100.48$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6517749.7%88 W · 89 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Over31c100.48$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6513144.3%58 W · 73 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,84550.7%936 W · 909 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162f…4ee0backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493868.4%26 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over48c96.27$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.216746.3%31 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Over31c92.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1313046.9%61 W · 69 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over62c80.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.685,81243.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L-188.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under35c76.88$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0344945.9%206 W · 243 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over54c75.08$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5882551.6%426 W · 399 L+3.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd814…09d0backed Under71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.428100%8 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xccc4…77cabacked Under44c68.49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.44259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over54c65.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.344,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e67…a39bbacked Under69c62.43$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.433548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa20d…eadebacked Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020446.6%95 W · 109 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc26a…76a1backed Over48c59.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.86743.3%29 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Over45c55.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8420764.7%134 W · 73 L+21.2wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7e0…a311backed Over42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-45.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Over58c45.59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.361,37454.2%745 W · 629 L+16.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9382…4ee3backed Under54c42.59$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5911658.6%68 W · 48 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3537…3419backed Under39c41.97$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.62060%12 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6b…8ffabacked Over48c41.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.695154.9%28 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+29.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Under45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2222554.7%123 W · 102 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Under54c39.06$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.962,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under43c35.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.321,02250.6%517 W · 505 L+54.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Under49c34.02$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3555052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a9e…5347backed Over48c31.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.921650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3bfc…8eb3backed Under37c30.86$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.444926.5%13 W · 36 L-10.5wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-45.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under53c30.43$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.261,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143941%16 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Over51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511138.7%43 W · 68 L-11.0wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Under44c27.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4514245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc50…7fdebacked Over49c23.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.36546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under57c22.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7832857.9%190 W · 138 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under48c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.851,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over76c20.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.841,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over78c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.62,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.61,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93dd…2f33backed Over55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114447.7%21 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ef0…d45bbacked Under58c17.85$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.56549.2%32 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Under64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6321852.8%115 W · 103 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.