TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
San Francisco Giantsof San Francisco Giants, Los Angeles Dodgers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,574
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,387

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,574 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x255a…3435backed Los Angeles Dodgers21c10,476$2,200 inLost-$2,2001,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants79c8,878$6,999 inWon+$1,878.4610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Los Angeles Dodgers46c4,317$1,986 inLost-$1,985.61,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants54c2,861$1,545 inWon+$1,315.911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants61c2,266$1,378 inWon+$888.548,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Los Angeles Dodgers76c2,007$1,516 inLost-$1,515.5113534.1%46 W · 89 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed San Francisco Giants24c997.25$239 inWon+$757.912,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f0…fe05backed San Francisco Giants25c620$155 inWon+$46517545.7%80 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants30c476.69$141 inWon+$335.7412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked San Francisco Giants15c452.4$68 inWon+$384.541,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed San Francisco Giants45c425.53$191 inWon+$234.042,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa4c…9671backed Los Angeles Dodgers77c389.74$300 inLost-$3003778.4%29 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed San Francisco Giants45c218.67$98 inWon+$120.271,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Los Angeles Dodgers30c208.95$62 inLost-$61.956,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x758e…f824backed Los Angeles Dodgers78c128.21$100 inLost-$1001877.8%14 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick76cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers31c109.55$34 inLost-$33.991,14948.9%562 W · 587 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Los Angeles Dodgers22c97.08$22 inLost-$21.5584122.7%191 W · 650 L-81.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants17c87.04$15 inWon+$72.243,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked San Francisco Giants52c79$41 inWon+$38.035,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed San Francisco Giants45c50$23 inWon+$27.568942.2%291 W · 398 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked San Francisco Giants25c49.62$12 inWon+$37.2118547.6%88 W · 97 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bcf…c678backed San Francisco Giants44c47.14$21 inWon+$26.424654.9%135 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3537…3419backed Los Angeles Dodgers46c43.59$20 inLost-$20.052060%12 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x697e…9904backed San Francisco Giants25c40$10 inWon+$302365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed Los Angeles Dodgers59c34.28$20 inLost-$20.3124554.7%134 W · 111 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa17e…cfcdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers57c30.13$17 inLost-$17.172060%12 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8138…1052backed Los Angeles Dodgers72c26.13$19 inLost-$18.853540%14 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-26.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Los Angeles Dodgers50c25.5$13 inLost-$12.7544737.4%167 W · 280 L-24.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed San Francisco Giants68c20.8$14 inWon+$6.619549.5%47 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93dd…2f33backed San Francisco Giants55c20$11 inWon+$94447.7%21 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.