MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcae7763d0dc521e8eb07e72bcc15f17193d1bbc5387349c5a5f687cdfc544984
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof Los Angeles Dodgers, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 15,000$8,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,810.19 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 8,331$3,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,214.08 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 2,372$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.3 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 1,671$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.44 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 1,609$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.28 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…31f1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 1,199$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.33 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 992.45$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.62 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 933.69$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.54 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 900.41$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…e4a2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 812.07$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 779.98$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.39 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 700$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked San Francisco Giants | 40c | 468.03$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.73 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 455.6$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.8 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 448.42$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.02 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 335.98$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.87 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 9c | 279.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 240$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 233$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.81 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 206.71$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.36 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 172.33$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 10c | 107.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 100.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 94.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Francisco Giants | 74c | 76.59$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…e445backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 74.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 64.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 57.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…c407backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 57.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 54.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 330 | 51.8%171 W · 159 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 44.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc4…77cabacked San Francisco Giants | 71c | 44.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 43.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 268 | 53.4%143 W · 125 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…0a39backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 30.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0acabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…5a4fbacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 23.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfc…8eb3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 22.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -10.5wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1140…da5fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 19.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 17.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 325 | 50.5%164 W · 161 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles DodgersSan Francisco Giants won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.